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      Vegetation trends over eleven years on mountain summits in NW Argentina

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          Abstract

          As global climate change leads to warmer and dryer conditions in the central Andes, alpine plant communities are forced to upward displacements following their climatic niche. Species range shifts are predicted to have major impacts on alpine communities by reshuffling species composition and abundances. Using a standardized protocol, we surveyed alpine plant communities in permanent plots on four high Andean summits in NW Argentina, which range from 4,040 to 4,740 m a.s.l. After a baseline survey in 2006–2008, we resurvey the same plots in 2012, and again in 2017. We found a significant decrease in plant cover, species richness, and diversity across the elevation gradient in the three censuses and a strong decrease in soil temperature along the elevation gradient. We found a high plant community turnover (37%–49%) among censuses, differentiating according to summits and aspects; major changes of community turnover were observed in the lowest summit (49%) and on the northern (47%) and western (46%) aspects. Temporal patterns in community changes were represented by increases in plant cover in the highest summit, in species richness in the lower summit, and in diversity (Shannon index) in the four summits, over time, together with increase in small herbs and non‐tussock grasses. We suggest that the observed trend in plant community dynamics responds to short‐term temperature and precipitation variability, which is influenced by El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and due to time lags in plant community response, it may take much longer than one decade for the observed trends to become stables and statistically significant. Our study provides an important foundation for documenting more profound changes in these subtropical alpine plant communities as global climate change continues.

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          Most cited references51

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          Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change

          Ecological changes in the phenology and distribution of plants and animals are occurring in all well-studied marine, freshwater, and terrestrial groups. These observed changes are heavily biased in the directions predicted from global warming and have been linked to local or regional climate change through correlations between climate and biological variation, field and laboratory experiments, and physiological research. Range-restricted species, particularly polar and mountaintop species, show severe range contractions and have been the first groups in which entire species have gone extinct due to recent climate change. Tropical coral reefs and amphibians have been most negatively affected. Predator-prey and plant-insect interactions have been disrupted when interacting species have responded differently to warming. Evolutionary adaptations to warmer conditions have occurred in the interiors of species' ranges, and resource use and dispersal have evolved rapidly at expanding range margins. Observed genetic shifts modulate local effects of climate change, but there is little evidence that they will mitigate negative effects at the species level.
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            Novel climates, no-analog communities, and ecological surprises

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              Continent-wide response of mountain vegetation to climate change

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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                julietacarilla@gmail.com
                Journal
                Ecol Evol
                Ecol Evol
                10.1002/(ISSN)2045-7758
                ECE3
                Ecology and Evolution
                John Wiley and Sons Inc. (Hoboken )
                2045-7758
                14 November 2018
                December 2018
                : 8
                : 23 ( doiID: 10.1002/ece3.2018.8.issue-23 )
                : 11554-11567
                Affiliations
                [ 1 ] Instituto de Ecología Regional Universidad Nacional de Tucumán—Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET) Tucumán Argentina
                [ 2 ] Ministry for Primary Industries Wellington New Zealand
                [ 3 ] Instituto de Química del Noroeste (INQUINOA) Tucumán Argentina
                [ 4 ] Biodiversity Department Consorcio para el Desarrollo Sostenible de la Ecorregión Andina (CONDESAN) Quito Ecuador
                [ 5 ] Palaeoecology and Landscape Ecology, Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics (IBED) University of Amsterdam Amsterdam The Netherlands
                Author notes
                [*] [* ] Correspondence

                Julieta Carilla, Instituto de Ecología Regional, Universidad Nacional de Tucumán—Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Tucumán, Argentina.

                Email: julietacarilla@ 123456gmail.com

                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7034-4154
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1678-4682
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3284-8594
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-231X
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4433-3133
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5150-073X
                Article
                ECE34602
                10.1002/ece3.4602
                6303700
                f603fe79-913c-437a-8364-46d5bff8ef40
                © 2018 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

                This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                : 21 June 2017
                : 23 April 2018
                : 16 September 2018
                Page count
                Figures: 5, Tables: 2, Pages: 14, Words: 11543
                Funding
                Funded by: Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
                Funded by: Consorcio para el Desarrollo Sostenible de la Ecoregion Andina (CONDESAN)
                Funded by: Assessing LArge‐scale environmental Risks with tested Methods (ALARM)
                Funded by: Direktion für Entwicklung und Zusammenarbeit
                Funded by: National Geographic Society
                Funded by: Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation
                Funded by: National University of Tucuman
                Funded by: Global Environmental Fund (GEF)
                Categories
                Original Research
                Original Research
                Custom metadata
                2.0
                ece34602
                December 2018
                Converter:WILEY_ML3GV2_TO_NLMPMC version:version=5.5.4 mode:remove_FC converted:22.12.2018

                Evolutionary Biology
                andes,climate change,community turnover,elevation gradient,gloria initiative,plant diversity

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