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      Disaster Risk Resilience in Colima-Villa de Alvarez, Mexico: Application of the Resilience Index to Flash Flooding Events

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          Abstract

          Resilience is an indicator of the ability of systems to withstand disruption within acceptable degradation parameters and also their recovery time. It is essential for public policies to understand how the population reacts to a particular risk. In this paper we have performed a study that quantitatively measures perceptions of flooding and resilience to flooding in the city of Colima-Villa de Alvarez, Mexico 2018–2019. A resilience index has been applied to ten zones of the city. In our research we assessed risk perception through a city-wide survey with questions based on a Likert scale. An analysis was performed on public knowledge of the existing security protocols for floods and evaluated the public perception of the availability of critical services, such as fresh water, electricity, food, drainage, communications and public transport during a flash flood events. This research has identified populated low resilience zones that can be considered as priorities for resource and effort to mitigate floods and their impacts. The novel resilience index developed in this work can also be applied to other type of risk that humans face and used as a basis for discussions about urban resilience.

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          Most cited references49

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          Unrealistic optimism about susceptibility to health problems: conclusions from a community-wide sample.

          A mailed questionnaire was used to obtain comparative risk judgments for 32 different hazards from a random sample of 296 individuals living in central New Jersey. The results demonstrate that an optimistic bias about susceptibility to harm--a tendency to claim that one is less at risk than one's peers--is not limited to any particular age, sex, educational, or occupational group. It was found that an optimistic bias is often introduced when people extrapolate from their past experience to estimate their future vulnerability. Thus, the hazards most likely to elicit unrealistic optimism are those associated with the belief (often incorrect) that if the problem has not yet appeared, it is unlikely to occur in the future. Optimistic biases also increase with the perceived preventability of a hazard and decrease with perceived frequency and personal experience. Other data presented illustrate the inconsistent relationships between personal risk judgments and objective risk factors.
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            Social vulnerability to floods: Review of case studies and implications for measurement

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              Perceptions of climate risk in Mozambique: Implications for the success of adaptation strategies

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Int J Environ Res Public Health
                Int J Environ Res Public Health
                ijerph
                International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
                MDPI
                1661-7827
                1660-4601
                16 June 2019
                June 2019
                : 16
                : 12
                : 2128
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Colima, Colima 28400, Mexico; jlopez71@ 123456ucol.mx (L.-d.l.C.J.); I.Pattison@ 123456lboro.ac.uk (P.I.); martinez_miguel@ 123456ucol.mx (M.-P.M.); jmuriber@ 123456ucol.mx (U.-R.J.M.); cramirez6@ 123456ucol.mx (R.-L.C.I.); princon0@ 123456ucol.mx (R.-A.P.); jvelazco@ 123456ucol.mx (V.-C.J.A.)
                [2 ]School of Architecture, Civil and Building engineering, Loughborough University, Loughborough LE11 2UT, UK; r.m.edwards@ 123456lboro.ac.uk
                [3 ]5G Research Centre, Woflson School, Loughborough University, Loughborough LE11 3TU, UK
                Author notes
                [* ]Correspondence: oliver@ 123456ucol.mx ; Tel.: +52-312-3161167
                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9614-4946
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8230-6414
                Article
                ijerph-16-02128
                10.3390/ijerph16122128
                6616643
                31208126
                f4ca7db2-0e33-4bda-ac47-bd84d8335d82
                © 2019 by the authors.

                Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

                History
                : 08 May 2019
                : 05 June 2019
                Categories
                Article

                Public health
                flooding,risk perception,resilience,likert
                Public health
                flooding, risk perception, resilience, likert

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