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      How do natural hazards cascade to cause disasters?

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          Is Open Access

          Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013

          Climate strongly influences global wildfire activity, and recent wildfire surges may signal fire weather-induced pyrogeographic shifts. Here we use three daily global climate data sets and three fire danger indices to develop a simple annual metric of fire weather season length, and map spatio-temporal trends from 1979 to 2013. We show that fire weather seasons have lengthened across 29.6 million km2 (25.3%) of the Earth's vegetated surface, resulting in an 18.7% increase in global mean fire weather season length. We also show a doubling (108.1% increase) of global burnable area affected by long fire weather seasons (>1.0 σ above the historical mean) and an increased global frequency of long fire weather seasons across 62.4 million km2 (53.4%) during the second half of the study period. If these fire weather changes are coupled with ignition sources and available fuel, they could markedly impact global ecosystems, societies, economies and climate.
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            Radiative forcing and albedo feedback from the Northern Hemisphere cryosphere between 1979 and 2008

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              Critical infrastructure, panarchies and the vulnerability paths of cascading disasters

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Nature
                Nature
                Springer Nature America, Inc
                0028-0836
                1476-4687
                September 2018
                September 24 2018
                September 2018
                : 561
                : 7724
                : 458-460
                Article
                10.1038/d41586-018-06783-6
                30250152
                a5bfefb4-3767-454e-a957-8fab7e77254d
                © 2018

                http://www.springer.com/tdm

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