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      CA FIRST (California Febrile Infant Risk Stratification Tool) Algorithm Development in a Learning Health System

      brief-report

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          Abstract

          Introduction

          There is considerable variation in the approach to infants presenting to the emergency department (ED) with fever. The authors’ primary aim was to develop a robust set of algorithms using community ED data to inform modifications of broader clinical guidance.

          Methods

          The authors report the development of California Febrile Infant Risk Stratification Tool (CA FIRST) using key components of the Roseville Protocol (ROS) and American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) Clinical Practice Guideline (CPG). Expanded guidance was derived using a retrospective analysis of a cohort of 3527 febrile infants aged 7–90 days presenting to any Kaiser Permanente Northern California ED between 2010 and 2019 who underwent a core febrile infant evaluation.

          Results

          Melding ROS and AAP CPG algorithms in infants 7–60 days old, CA FIRST Algorithms had comparable performance characteristics to ROS and AAP CPG. CA FIRST enhancements included guidance on febrile infants 61–90 days old, high-risk infants, infants with bronchiolitis, and infants who received immunizations within the prior 48 hours. This retrospective analysis revealed that of 235 febrile infants 22–90 days old with respiratory syncytial virus and 221 who had fever in the 48 hours following vaccination, there were no cases of invasive bacterial infection.

          Discussion

          CA FIRST is a set of 13 algorithms providing a thoughtful and flexible approach to the febrile infant while minimizing unnecessary interventions.

          Conclusions

          CA FIRST Algorithms empower clinicians to manage most febrile infants. Algorithms are being modified as new data become available, imparting useful and ever-current educational information within a learning health care system.

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          Most cited references15

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          Risk of serious bacterial infection in young febrile infants with respiratory syncytial virus infections.

          The evaluation of young febrile infants is controversial, in part because it is unclear whether clinical evidence of a viral infection significantly reduces the risk of serious bacterial infections (SBIs). Specifically, it remains unclear whether the risk of SBI is altered in a meaningful way in the presence of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections. The objective of this study was to determine the risk of SBI in young febrile infants who are infected with RSV compared with those without RSV infections. We conducted a 3-year multicenter, prospective, cross-sectional study. All febrile (> or =38 degrees C) infants who were or =5 x 10(4) cfu/mL, or > or =10(4) cfu/mL in association with a positive urinalysis in a catheterized specimen, or > or = 10(3) cfu/mL in a suprapubic aspirate. Bacteremia, bacterial meningitis, and bacterial enteritis were defined by growth of a known bacterial pathogen. SBI was defined as any of the above-mentioned 4 bacterial infections. We enrolled 1248 patients, including 269 (22%) with RSV infections. The overall SBI status could be determined in 1169 (94%) of the 1248 patients, and the rate of SBIs was 11.4% (133 of 1169; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 9.6%-13.3%). The rate of SBIs in the RSV-positive infants was 7.0% (17 of 244; 95% CI: 4.1%-10.9%) compared with 12.5% (116 of 925; 95% CI: 10.5%-14.8%) in the RSV-negative infants (risk difference: 5.5%; 95% CI: 1.7%-9.4%). The rate of UTI in the RSV-positive infants was 5.4% (14 of 261; 95% CI: 3.0%-8.8%) compared with 10.1% (98 of 966; 95% CI: 8.3%-12.2%) in the RSV-negative infants (risk difference: 4.7%; 95% CI: 1.4%-8.1%). The RSV-positive infants had a lower rate of bacteremia than the RSV-negative infants (1.1% vs 2.3%; risk difference: 1.2%; 95% CI: -0.4% to 2.7%). No RSV-positive infant had bacterial meningitis (0 of 251; 95% CI: 0%-1.2%); however, the differences between the 2 groups with regard to bacteremia and bacterial meningitis did not achieve statistical significance. Febrile infants who are < or =60 days of age and have RSV infections are at significantly lower risk of SBI than febrile infants without RSV infection. Nevertheless, the rate of SBIs, particularly as a result of UTI, remains appreciable in febrile RSV-positive infants.
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            Outpatient management without antibiotics of fever in selected infants.

            In many academic centers it is standard practice to hospitalize all febrile infants younger than two months of age, whereas in community settings such infants are often cared for as outpatients. We conducted a controlled study of 747 consecutive infants 29 through 56 days of age who had temperatures of at least 38.2 degrees C. After a complete history taking, physical examination, and sepsis workup, the 460 infants with laboratory or clinical findings suggestive of serious bacterial illness were hospitalized and treated with antibiotics. The screening criteria for serious bacterial illness included a white-cell count of at least 15,000 per cubic millimeter, a spun urine specimen that had 10 or more white cells per high-power field or that was positive on bright-field microscopy, cerebrospinal fluid with a white-cell count of 8 or more per cubic millimeter or a positive Gram's stain, or a chest film showing an infiltrate. The 287 infants who had unremarkable examinations and normal laboratory results were assigned to either inpatient observation without antibiotics (n = 148) or outpatient care without antibiotics but with reexaminations after 24 and 48 hours (n = 139). Serious bacterial illness was diagnosed in 65 infants (8.7 percent). Of these 65 infants, 64 were identified by our screening criteria for inpatient care and antibiotic treatment (sensitivity = 98 percent; 95 percent confidence interval, 92 to 100). Of the 287 infants assigned to observation and no antibiotics, 286 (99.7 percent) did not have serious bacterial illness. Only two infants assigned to outpatient observation were subsequently admitted to the hospital; neither was found to have a serious illness. Outpatient care without antibiotics of the febrile infants at low risk for serious illness resulted in a savings of about $3,100 per patient. With the use of strict screening criteria, a substantial number of febrile one-to-two-month-old infants can be cared for safely as outpatients and without antibiotics.
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              Serious bacterial infections in febrile infants 1 to 90 days old with and without viral infections.

              The risk of serious bacterial infection (SBI) in febrile infants who are classified as low risk (LR) or high risk (HR) by the Rochester criteria has been established. LR infants average a 1.4% occurrence of SBI, whereas HR infants have an occurrence of 21%. The occurrence of SBI in Rochester LR or HR infants with confirmed viral infections is unknown. The objective of this study was to determine the occurrence of SBI in Rochester LR and HR infants with and without viral infections. All febrile infants who were 90 days or younger and evaluated at Primary Children's Medical Center between December 1996 and June 2002 were eligible. Infants were classified as Rochester LR or HR, and discharge diagnoses were collected. Viral testing for enteroviruses, respiratory viruses, rotavirus, and herpesvirus was performed as indicated by study protocol, clinical presentation, and season of the year. Results of all bacterial cultures were reviewed. Of 1779 infants enrolled, 1385 (78%) had some form of viral diagnostic testing and 491 (35%) had 1 or more viruses identified. By the Rochester criteria, 456 (33%) infants were classified as LR and 922 (67%) infants as HR. For infants with viral infections, the occurrence of SBI was significantly lower than in infants without a viral infection (4.2% vs 12.3%). Rochester HR virus-positive (HR+) infants had significantly fewer bacterial infections than HR virus-negative (HR-) infants (5.5% vs 16.7%). When compared with HR- infants, HR+ infants were less likely to have bacteremia, urinary tract infection, or soft tissue infections, and HR+ infants had a similar occurrence of bacteremia as LR infants (0.92% vs 1.97%). Febrile infants with confirmed viral infections are at lower risk for SBI than those in whom a viral infection is not identified. Viral diagnostic data can positively contribute to the management of febrile infants, especially those who are classified as HR.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Perm J
                tpj
                tpj
                The Permanente Journal
                The Permanente Press
                1552-5767
                1552-5775
                2023
                10 August 2023
                : 27
                : 3
                : 92-98
                Affiliations
                [1] 1 departmentDivision of Infectious Diseases, Department of Pediatrics, Kaiser Permanente Northern California , San Francisco, CA, USA
                [2] 2 departmentThe Permanente Medical Group , Oakland, CA, USA
                [3] 3 departmentDepartment of Hospital Pediatrics, Kaiser Permanente Northern California , Roseville, CA, USA
                [4] 4 departmentDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California , Oakland, CA, USA
                [5] 5 departmentDepartment of Pediatrics, Kaiser Permanente Southern California , Anaheim, CA, USA
                [6] 6 departmentKaiser Permanente Bernard J. Tyson School of Medicine, Health Systems Science Department , Pasadena, CA, USA
                [7] 7 departmentDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California , Pasadena, CA, USA
                [8] 8 departmentSchool of Medicine, University of California , San Francisco, CA, USA
                Author notes
                Tara L Greenhow, MD tara.greenhow@ 123456kp.org
                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3480-7895
                Article
                TPJ-23-030
                10.7812/TPP/23.030
                10502387
                37559485
                8e0ff2cd-fe11-46c8-8ecb-c0f7975a32a7
                © 2023 The Authors.

                Published by The Permanente Federation LLC under the terms of the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.

                History
                Page count
                Figures: 2, Tables: 4, References: 15, Pages: 7
                Funding
                Funded by: Garfield Memorial Fund;
                Categories
                Brief Report

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