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      Combination of TyG Index and GRACE Risk Score as Long-Term Prognostic Marker in Patients with ACS Complicated with T2DM Undergoing PCI

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          Abstract

          Objective

          We aimed to investigate the prognostic value of the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index combined the with Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score in adult acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

          Methods

          The study enrolled total 899 ACS patients with T2DM who underwent PCI. TyG index and the GRACE risk score were calculated and assessed by median. The correlation was analyzed by Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient. The cumulative major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) curve was generated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Multivariate Cox regression was used to identify predictors of MACEs. Additionally, the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), net reclassification index (NRI) and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) were applied to analyze the performance of each single factor index and combined multivariate index in predicting MACE.

          Results

          In the ACS patients with T2DM after PCI, there were significant differences in the TyG index and GRACE risk score between the MACE group and the MACE-free group ( P < 0.001). Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that the TyG index combined with the GRACE risk score was positively correlated with the occurrence of MACEs (log rank P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that the TyG index, the GRACE risk score, and the TyG index combined with the GRACE risk score were independent predictors of long-term MACEs (adjusted HR: 1.805; 95% CI: 1.479–2.203, P < 0.001; adjusted HR: 1.012; 95% CI: 1.009–1.016, P < 0.001; and adjusted HR: 2.337; 95% CI: 1.805–3.025, P < 0.001, respectively). Correlation analysis indicated that the TyG index was positively correlated with the GRACE risk score (R = 0.140, P < 0.001). The analysis of AUC, NRI and IDI revealed that the combined multivariate index performed better prognostic role than each single factor index in predicting the occurrence of MACE.

          Conclusion

          Both the GRACE risk score and the TyG index could be significant and independent predictors of clinical outcomes in ACS patients with T2DM after PCI. A combination of them could be enhanced predictions of clinical outcomes in these patients.

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          Most cited references29

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          Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risk Factors, 1990–2019

          Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), principally ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke, are the leading cause of global mortality and a major contributor to disability. This paper reviews the magnitude of total CVD burden, including 13 underlying causes of cardiovascular death and 9 related risk factors, using estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. GBD, an ongoing multinational collaboration to provide comparable and consistent estimates of population health over time, used all available population-level data sources on incidence, prevalence, case fatality, mortality, and health risks to produce estimates for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Prevalent cases of total CVD nearly doubled from 271 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 257 to 285 million) in 1990 to 523 million (95% UI: 497 to 550 million) in 2019, and the number of CVD deaths steadily increased from 12.1 million (95% UI:11.4 to 12.6 million) in 1990, reaching 18.6 million (95% UI: 17.1 to 19.7 million) in 2019. The global trends for disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and years of life lost also increased significantly, and years lived with disability doubled from 17.7 million (95% UI: 12.9 to 22.5 million) to 34.4 million (95% UI:24.9 to 43.6 million) over that period. The total number of DALYs due to IHD has risen steadily since 1990, reaching 182 million (95% UI: 170 to 194 million) DALYs, 9.14 million (95% UI: 8.40 to 9.74 million) deaths in the year 2019, and 197 million (95% UI: 178 to 220 million) prevalent cases of IHD in 2019. The total number of DALYs due to stroke has risen steadily since 1990, reaching 143 million (95% UI: 133 to 153 million) DALYs, 6.55 million (95% UI: 6.00 to 7.02 million) deaths in the year 2019, and 101 million (95% UI: 93.2 to 111 million) prevalent cases of stroke in 2019. Cardiovascular diseases remain the leading cause of disease burden in the world. CVD burden continues its decades-long rise for almost all countries outside high-income countries, and alarmingly, the age-standardized rate of CVD has begun to rise in some locations where it was previously declining in high-income countries. There is an urgent need to focus on implementing existing cost-effective policies and interventions if the world is to meet the targets for Sustainable Development Goal 3 and achieve a 30% reduction in premature mortality due to noncommunicable diseases.
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            IDF Diabetes Atlas: Global estimates of diabetes prevalence for 2017 and projections for 2045

            Since the year 2000, IDF has been measuring the prevalence of diabetes nationally, regionally and globally.
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              2015 ESC Guidelines for the management of acute coronary syndromes in patients presenting without persistent ST-segment elevation: Task Force for the Management of Acute Coronary Syndromes in Patients Presenting without Persistent ST-Segment Elevation of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC).

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Diabetes Metab Syndr Obes
                Diabetes Metab Syndr Obes
                dmso
                Diabetes, Metabolic Syndrome and Obesity: Targets and Therapy
                Dove
                1178-7007
                28 September 2022
                2022
                : 15
                : 3015-3025
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University , Zhengzhou, Henan, 450052, People’s Republic of China
                [2 ]Henan Province Key Laboratory of Cardiac Injury and Repair , Zhengzhou, Henan, 450052, People’s Republic of China
                [3 ]Henan Province Clinical Research Center for Cardiovascular Diseases , Zhengzhou, Henan, 450018, People’s Republic of China
                [4 ]Clinical Big Data Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University , Zhengzhou, Henan, 450052, People’s Republic of China
                Author notes
                Correspondence: Junnan Tang, Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University , Zhengzhou, Henan, 450052, People’s Republic of China, Tel +86 15890696166, Email fcctangjn@zzu.edu.cn
                Jinying Zhang, Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University , Zhengzhou, Henan, 450052, People’s Republic of China, Tel +86 13503830283, Email jyzhang@zzu.edu.cn
                Article
                376178
                10.2147/DMSO.S376178
                9527003
                36196143
                f49cf7a4-af13-4527-878f-611996460772
                © 2022 Qin et al.

                This work is published and licensed by Dove Medical Press Limited. The full terms of this license are available at https://www.dovepress.com/terms.php and incorporate the Creative Commons Attribution – Non Commercial (unported, v3.0) License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/). By accessing the work you hereby accept the Terms. Non-commercial uses of the work are permitted without any further permission from Dove Medical Press Limited, provided the work is properly attributed. For permission for commercial use of this work, please see paragraphs 4.2 and 5 of our Terms ( https://www.dovepress.com/terms.php).

                History
                : 25 May 2022
                : 08 September 2022
                Page count
                Figures: 3, Tables: 6, References: 29, Pages: 11
                Categories
                Original Research

                Endocrinology & Diabetes
                triglyceride-glucose index,grace risk score,predictive biomarker,acute coronary syndrome,type 2 diabetes mellitus,percutaneous coronary intervention

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