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      Geographic Variation in Osteoporotic Hip Fracture Incidence: The Growing Importance of Asian Influences in Coming Decades

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          Abstract

          Studies over the last few decades have demonstrated geographic variation in the incidence of hip fracture across continents and among different parts of the same region. This paper studies the epidemiology of hip fracture worldwide, with special emphasis on the geographic variation among Asian countries. Using the Pubmed database, keywords that were employed included hip fracture, incidence rate, geographic variation, osteoporosis, and epidemiology. Articles were chosen based on the basis of (1) focus: studies that were said to specifically focus on geographic variation in hip fracture from different continents with a focus on Asia; (2) language: studies that were in English; (3) methods: studies that used statistical tests to examine hip fracture incidence rates. The highest hip fracture rates are seen in Scandinavian countries and the US and the lowest in African countries. Fracture rates are intermediate in Asian populations. Among different ethnic populations, the highest fracture rates are seen in Caucasians and the lowest in blacks. There is also a north-south gradient, particularly in Europe, where more hip fractures occur in North Europe compared to the South.

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          Hip fractures in the elderly: a world-wide projection.

          Hip fractures are recognized to be a major public health problem in many Western nations, most notably those in North America, Europe and Oceania. Incidence rates for hip fracture in other parts of the world are generally lower than those reported for these predominantly Caucasian populations, and this has led to the belief that osteoporosis represents less of a problem to the nations of Asia, South American and Africa. Demographic changes in the next 60 years, however, will lead to huge increases in the elderly populations of those countries. We have applied available incidence rates for hip fracture from various parts of the world to projected populations in 1990, 2025 and 2050 in order to estimate the numbers of hip fractures which might occur in each of the major continental regions. The projections indicate that the number of hip fractures occurring in the world each year will rise from 1.66 million in 1990 to 6.26 million by 2050. While Europe and North America account for about half of all hip fractures among elderly people today, this proportion will fall to around one quarter in 2050, by which time steep increases will be observed throughout Asia and Latin America. The results suggest that osteoporosis will truly become a global problem over the next half century, and that preventive strategies will be required in parts of the world where they are not currently felt to be necessary.
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            Risk factors for low bone mass in healthy 40-60 year old women: a systematic review of the literature.

            Based on a systematic review of the literature, only low body weight and menopausal status can be considered with confidence, as important risk factors for low BMD in healthy 40-60 year old women. The use of body weight to identify high risk women may reduce unnecessary BMD testing in this age group. BMD testing of perimenopausal women is increasing but may be unnecessary as fracture risk is low. Appropriate assessment among younger women requires identification of risk factors for low BMD specific to this population. We conducted a systematic literature review of risk factors for low BMD in healthy women aged 40-60 years. Articles were retrieved from six databases and reviewed for eligibility and methodological quality. A grade for overall strength of evidence for each risk factor was assigned. There was good evidence that low body weight and post-menopausal status are risk factors for low BMD. There was good or fair evidence that alcohol and caffeine intake, and reproductive history are not risk factors. There was inconsistent or insufficient evidence for the effect of calcium intake, physical activity, smoking, age at menarche, history of amenorrhea, family history of OP, race and current age on BMD. Based on current evidence in Caucasians, we suggest that, in healthy women aged 40-60 years, only those with a low body weight (< 70 kg) be selected for BMD testing. Further research is necessary to determine optimal race-specific discriminatory weight cut-offs and to evaluate the risk factors for which there was inconclusive evidence.
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              Very low rates of hip fracture in Beijing, People's Republic of China the Beijing Osteoporosis Project.

              One third of the world's hip fractures are said to occur in Asia, mostly in China. However, there have as yet been no validated studies of hip fracture rates in China. The authors estimated the incidence of hip fractures in Beijing, People's Republic of China, and took several steps to validate the estimates. All 76 Beijing hospitals reported all 1988-1992 admissions that had been coded as 820 (hip fracture) or 821 (other femoral fracture) according to the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision. The authors then compared a random sample of the reports with original medical records, and discovered that 70% of intertrochanteric hip fractures had been miscoded as "other femoral fractures." The authors retrained all hospital staffs to provide corrected reports. Revised reports missed only 13% of the hip fracture cases recorded in operating room logs of 11 randomly selected hospitals. To validate hospital-based estimates of hip fracture rates, the authors interviewed a random sample of 2,113 Beijing women aged 50 years or more (97% response rate); all but 4% of past fractures and all seven hip fractures had been treated in hospitals. Finally, the authors surveyed the 27 hospitals in the counties surrounding Beijing. No Beijing residents had been treated for hip fracture outside of the city. Based on the 1990 China census, age-standardized rates of hip fracture (per 100,000) in Beijing-87 for women, 97 for men-were much lower than those seen in Hong Kong in 1985 (353 for women, 181 for men) or in US Caucasians (510-559 for women, 174-207 for men). From 1988 to 1992, the rates in Beijing increased 34% in women and 33% in men. The authors conclude that hip fracture rates in Beijing are among the lowest in the world but may be rising rapidly.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                J Osteoporos
                JOSTEO
                Journal of Osteoporosis
                SAGE-Hindawi Access to Research
                2042-0064
                2010
                2 August 2010
                : 2010
                : 757102
                Affiliations
                1MRC Epidemiology Resource Centre, Southampton General Hospital, University of Southampton, Southampton SO16 6YD, UK
                2Botnar Research Centre, Institute of Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LD, UK
                Author notes

                Academic Editor: Saeko Fujiwara

                Article
                10.4061/2010/757102
                2957223
                20981334
                e544d2f6-ba01-4838-897d-8a6f9687765c
                Copyright © 2010 D. K. Dhanwal et al.

                This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                : 9 February 2010
                : 8 June 2010
                : 29 June 2010
                Categories
                Review Article

                Orthopedics
                Orthopedics

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