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      New Onset of DiabetEs in aSsociation with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (NODES Trial): protocol of a prospective, multicentre observational trial

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          Abstract

          Introduction

          Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has a dismal prognosis with an overall 5-year survival of approximately 8%. The success in reducing the mortality rate of PDAC is related to the discovery of new therapeutic agents, and to a significant extent to the development of early detection and prevention programmes. Patients with new-onset diabetes mellitus (DM) represent a high-risk group for PDAC as they have an eightfold higher risk of PDAC than the general population. The proposed screening programme may allow the detection of PDAC in the early, operable stage. Diagnosing more patients in the curable stage might decrease the morbidity and mortality rates of PDAC and additionally reduce the burden of the healthcare.

          Methods and analysis

          This is a prospective, multicentre observational cohort study. Patients ≥60 years old diagnosed with new-onset (≤6 months) diabetes will be included. Exclusion criteria are (1) Continuous alcohol abuse; (2) Chronic pancreatitis; (3) Previous pancreas operation/pancreatectomy; (4) Pregnancy; (5) Present malignant disease and (6) Type 1 DM. Follow-up visits are scheduled every 6 months for up to 36 months. Data collection is based on questionnaires. Clinical symptoms, body weight and fasting blood will be collected at each, carbohydrate antigen 19–9 and blood to biobank at every second visit. The blood samples will be processed to plasma and analysed with mass spectrometry (MS)-based metabolomics. The metabolomic data will be used for biomarker validation for early detection of PDAC in the high-risk group patients with new-onset diabetes. Patients with worrisome features will undergo MRI or endoscopic ultrasound investigation, and surgical referral depending on the radiological findings. One of the secondary end points is the incidence of PDAC in patients with newly diagnosed DM.

          Ethics and dissemination

          The study has been approved by the Scientific and Research Ethics Committee of the Hungarian Medical Research Council (41085-6/2019). We plan to disseminate the results to several members of the healthcare system includining medical doctors, dietitians, nurses, patients and so on. We plan to publish the results in a peer-reviewed high-quality journal for professionals. In addition, we also plan to publish it for lay readers in order to maximalise the dissemination and benefits of this trial.

          Trial registration number

          ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04164602

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          Most cited references48

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          Controlling the False Discovery Rate: A Practical and Powerful Approach to Multiple Testing

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            Cancer statistics, 2016.

            Each year, the American Cancer Society estimates the numbers of new cancer cases and deaths that will occur in the United States in the current year and compiles the most recent data on cancer incidence, mortality, and survival. Incidence data were collected by the National Cancer Institute (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results [SEER] Program), the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (National Program of Cancer Registries), and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. Mortality data were collected by the National Center for Health Statistics. In 2016, 1,685,210 new cancer cases and 595,690 cancer deaths are projected to occur in the United States. Overall cancer incidence trends (13 oldest SEER registries) are stable in women, but declining by 3.1% per year in men (from 2009-2012), much of which is because of recent rapid declines in prostate cancer diagnoses. The cancer death rate has dropped by 23% since 1991, translating to more than 1.7 million deaths averted through 2012. Despite this progress, death rates are increasing for cancers of the liver, pancreas, and uterine corpus, and cancer is now the leading cause of death in 21 states, primarily due to exceptionally large reductions in death from heart disease. Among children and adolescents (aged birth-19 years), brain cancer has surpassed leukemia as the leading cause of cancer death because of the dramatic therapeutic advances against leukemia. Accelerating progress against cancer requires both increased national investment in cancer research and the application of existing cancer control knowledge across all segments of the population.
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              Projecting cancer incidence and deaths to 2030: the unexpected burden of thyroid, liver, and pancreas cancers in the United States.

              Cancer incidence and deaths in the United States were projected for the most common cancer types for the years 2020 and 2030 based on changing demographics and the average annual percentage changes in incidence and death rates. Breast, prostate, and lung cancers will remain the top cancer diagnoses throughout this time, but thyroid cancer will replace colorectal cancer as the fourth leading cancer diagnosis by 2030, and melanoma and uterine cancer will become the fifth and sixth most common cancers, respectively. Lung cancer is projected to remain the top cancer killer throughout this time period. However, pancreas and liver cancers are projected to surpass breast, prostate, and colorectal cancers to become the second and third leading causes of cancer-related death by 2030, respectively. Advances in screening, prevention, and treatment can change cancer incidence and/or death rates, but it will require a concerted effort by the research and healthcare communities now to effect a substantial change for the future. ©2014 American Association for Cancer Research.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                BMJ Open
                BMJ Open
                bmjopen
                bmjopen
                BMJ Open
                BMJ Publishing Group (BMA House, Tavistock Square, London, WC1H 9JR )
                2044-6055
                2020
                19 November 2020
                : 10
                : 11
                : e037267
                Affiliations
                [1 ]departmentFirst Department of Medicine , University of Szeged Faculty of Medicine , Szeged, Hungary
                [2 ]departmentTegeler Weg 33, 10589 , Metanomics Health GmbH , Berlin, Germany
                [3 ]departmentDepartment of Internal Medicine , Semmelweis University of Medicine , Budapest, Hungary
                [4 ]Ilona Tóth Outpatient Clinic , Budapest, Hungary
                [5 ]Institute for Translational Medicine, University of Pécs Medical School , Pécs, Hungary
                [6 ]János Szentágothai Research Center, University of Pécs , Pécs, Hungary
                [7 ]Institute for Translational Medicine, Pecsi Tudomanyegyetem Altalanos Orvostudomanyi Kar , Pecs, Hungary
                [8 ]departmentMTA-SZTE Translational Gastroenterology Research Group , Szegedi Tudomanyegyetem , Szeged, Hungary
                [9 ]departmentMedical School , University of Szeged Faculty of Medicine , Szeged, Hungary
                [10 ]departmentFirst Department of Medicine , University of Szeged , Szeged, Hungary
                Author notes
                [Correspondence to ] Dr László Czakó; czako.laszlo@ 123456med.u-szeged.hu
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3138-8039
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7035-941X
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6331-0802
                Article
                bmjopen-2020-037267
                10.1136/bmjopen-2020-037267
                7678370
                33444177
                db7ad147-f0b9-4bcf-8db1-5b73c51ab4dc
                © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.

                This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited, appropriate credit is given, any changes made indicated, and the use is non-commercial. See:  http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/.

                History
                : 29 January 2020
                : 05 September 2020
                : 22 September 2020
                Funding
                Funded by: University of Szeged Open Access Fund;
                Award ID: 4545
                Categories
                Diabetes and Endocrinology
                1506
                1843
                Protocol
                Custom metadata
                unlocked

                Medicine
                general diabetes,pancreatic disease,preventive medicine,protocols & guidelines
                Medicine
                general diabetes, pancreatic disease, preventive medicine, protocols & guidelines

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