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      The coefficient of determination R 2 and intra-class correlation coefficient from generalized linear mixed-effects models revisited and expanded

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          Abstract

          The coefficient of determination R 2 quantifies the proportion of variance explained by a statistical model and is an important summary statistic of biological interest. However, estimating R 2 for generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) remains challenging. We have previously introduced a version of R 2 that we called for Poisson and binomial GLMMs, but not for other distributional families. Similarly, we earlier discussed how to estimate intra-class correlation coefficients (ICCs) using Poisson and binomial GLMMs. In this paper, we generalize our methods to all other non-Gaussian distributions, in particular to negative binomial and gamma distributions that are commonly used for modelling biological data. While expanding our approach, we highlight two useful concepts for biologists, Jensen's inequality and the delta method, both of which help us in understanding the properties of GLMMs. Jensen's inequality has important implications for biologically meaningful interpretation of GLMMs, whereas the delta method allows a general derivation of variance associated with non-Gaussian distributions. We also discuss some special considerations for binomial GLMMs with binary or proportion data. We illustrate the implementation of our extension by worked examples from the field of ecology and evolution in the R environment. However, our method can be used across disciplines and regardless of statistical environments.

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          Unrepeatable Repeatabilities: A Common Mistake

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            Using observation-level random effects to model overdispersion in count data in ecology and evolution

            Overdispersion is common in models of count data in ecology and evolutionary biology, and can occur due to missing covariates, non-independent (aggregated) data, or an excess frequency of zeroes (zero-inflation). Accounting for overdispersion in such models is vital, as failing to do so can lead to biased parameter estimates, and false conclusions regarding hypotheses of interest. Observation-level random effects (OLRE), where each data point receives a unique level of a random effect that models the extra-Poisson variation present in the data, are commonly employed to cope with overdispersion in count data. However studies investigating the efficacy of observation-level random effects as a means to deal with overdispersion are scarce. Here I use simulations to show that in cases where overdispersion is caused by random extra-Poisson noise, or aggregation in the count data, observation-level random effects yield more accurate parameter estimates compared to when overdispersion is simply ignored. Conversely, OLRE fail to reduce bias in zero-inflated data, and in some cases increase bias at high levels of overdispersion. There was a positive relationship between the magnitude of overdispersion and the degree of bias in parameter estimates. Critically, the simulations reveal that failing to account for overdispersion in mixed models can erroneously inflate measures of explained variance (r 2), which may lead to researchers overestimating the predictive power of variables of interest. This work suggests use of observation-level random effects provides a simple and robust means to account for overdispersion in count data, but also that their ability to minimise bias is not uniform across all types of overdispersion and must be applied judiciously.
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              A Note on the Delta Method

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                J R Soc Interface
                J R Soc Interface
                RSIF
                royinterface
                Journal of the Royal Society Interface
                The Royal Society
                1742-5689
                1742-5662
                September 2017
                13 September 2017
                13 September 2017
                : 14
                : 134
                : 20170213
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Evolution and Ecology Research Centre, and School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales , Sydney, New South Wales 2052, Australia
                [2 ]Diabetes and Metabolism Division, Garvan Institute of Medical Research , Sydney, New South Wales 2010, Australia
                [3 ]Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow , Graham Kerr Building, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK
                [4 ]Population Ecology Group, Institute of Ecology, Friedrich Schiller University Jena , Dornburger Strasse 159, 07743 Jena, Germany
                Author notes
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7765-5182
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6663-7520
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9124-2261
                Article
                rsif20170213
                10.1098/rsif.2017.0213
                5636267
                28904005
                d04fd88d-91e4-4c86-86e7-92932228dca1
                © 2017 The Authors.

                Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.

                History
                : 20 March 2017
                : 2 August 2017
                Funding
                Funded by: Australian Research Council, http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000923;
                Award ID: FT130100268
                Funded by: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659;
                Award ID: SCHI 1188/1-2
                Categories
                1004
                28
                24
                70
                Life Sciences–Mathematics interface
                Research Article
                Custom metadata
                September, 2017

                Life sciences
                repeatability,heritability,goodness of fit,model fit,variance decomposition,reliability analysis

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