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      Regional responses of surface ozone in Europe to the location of high-latitude blocks and subtropical ridges

      , , , ,
      Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
      Copernicus GmbH

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          Abstract

          <p><strong>Abstract.</strong> This paper analyses for the first time the impact of high-latitude blocks and subtropical ridges on near-surface ozone (O<sub>3</sub>) in Europe during a 15-year period. For this purpose, a catalogue of blocks and ridges over the Euro–Atlantic region is used together with a gridded dataset of maximum daily 8<span class="thinspace"></span>h running average ozone (MDA8 O<sub>3</sub>) covering the period 1998–2012. The response of ozone to the location of blocks and ridges with centres in three longitudinal sectors (Atlantic, ATL, 30–0°<span class="thinspace"></span>W; European, EUR, 0–30°<span class="thinspace"></span>E; Russian, RUS, 30–60°<span class="thinspace"></span>E) is examined. The impact of blocks on ozone is regionally and seasonally dependent. In particular, blocks within the EUR sector yield positive ozone anomalies of ∼ <span class="thinspace"></span>5–10<span class="thinspace"></span>ppb over large parts of central Europe in spring and northern Europe in summer. Over 20 and 30<span class="thinspace"></span>% of the days with blocks in that sector register exceedances of the 90th percentile of the seasonal ozone distribution at many European locations during spring and summer, respectively. The impacts of ridges during those seasons are subtle and more sensitive to their specific location, although they can trigger ozone anomalies above 10<span class="thinspace"></span>ppb in northern Italy and the surrounding countries in summer, eventually exceeding European air quality (AQ) targets. During winter, surface ozone in the north-west of Europe presents completely opposite responses to blocks and ridges. The anticyclonic circulation associated with winter EUR blocking, and to a lesser extent with ATL blocking, yields negative ozone anomalies between −5 and −10<span class="thinspace"></span>ppb over the UK, northern France and the Benelux. Conversely, the enhanced zonal flow around 50–60°<span class="thinspace"></span>N during the occurrence of ATL ridges favours the arrival of background air masses from the Atlantic and the ventilation of the boundary layer, producing positive ozone anomalies of ∼ <span class="thinspace"></span>5<span class="thinspace"></span>ppb in an area spanning from the British Isles to the northern half of Germany. We also show that multiple linear models on the seasonal frequency of occurrence of these synoptic patterns can explain a considerable fraction of the interannual variability in some winter and summer ozone statistics (mean levels and number of exceedances of the 90th percentile) over some regions of western Europe. Thus, this work provides the first quantitative assessments of the remarkable but distinct impacts that the anticyclonic circulation and the diversion of the zonal flow associated with blocks and ridges exert on surface ozone in Europe. The findings reported here can be exploited in the future to evaluate the modelled responses of ozone to circulation changes within chemical transport models (CTMs) and chemistry–climate models (CCMs).</p>

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          Atmospheric circulation as a source of uncertainty in climate change projections

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              Indirect radiative forcing of climate change through ozone effects on the land-carbon sink.

              The evolution of the Earth's climate over the twenty-first century depends on the rate at which anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions are removed from the atmosphere by the ocean and land carbon cycles. Coupled climate-carbon cycle models suggest that global warming will act to limit the land-carbon sink, but these first generation models neglected the impacts of changing atmospheric chemistry. Emissions associated with fossil fuel and biomass burning have acted to approximately double the global mean tropospheric ozone concentration, and further increases are expected over the twenty-first century. Tropospheric ozone is known to damage plants, reducing plant primary productivity and crop yields, yet increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations are thought to stimulate plant primary productivity. Increased carbon dioxide and ozone levels can both lead to stomatal closure, which reduces the uptake of either gas, and in turn limits the damaging effect of ozone and the carbon dioxide fertilization of photosynthesis. Here we estimate the impact of projected changes in ozone levels on the land-carbon sink, using a global land carbon cycle model modified to include the effect of ozone deposition on photosynthesis and to account for interactions between ozone and carbon dioxide through stomatal closure. For a range of sensitivity parameters based on manipulative field experiments, we find a significant suppression of the global land-carbon sink as increases in ozone concentrations affect plant productivity. In consequence, more carbon dioxide accumulates in the atmosphere. We suggest that the resulting indirect radiative forcing by ozone effects on plants could contribute more to global warming than the direct radiative forcing due to tropospheric ozone increases.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
                Atmos. Chem. Phys.
                Copernicus GmbH
                1680-7324
                2017
                February 28 2017
                : 17
                : 4
                : 3111-3131
                Article
                10.5194/acp-17-3111-2017
                bcaddd6f-fefe-43e3-827a-5d88c93af65d
                © 2017

                https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

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