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      When New York City was the COVID-19 pandemic epicenter: The impact on trauma care

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          Abstract

          A large multicenter study shows an increased mortality risk to trauma patients during a time when NYC was considered the epicenter for COVID-19. Non-COVID patients with ISS<15 were more likely to die compared to the same subgroup in 2018/2019.

          BACKGROUND

          During early spring 2020, New York City (NYC) rapidly became the first US epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic. With an unparalleled strain on health care resources, we sought to investigate the impact of the pandemic on trauma visits and mortality in the United States' largest municipal hospital system.

          METHODS

          We conducted a retrospective multicenter cohort study of the five level 1 trauma centers in NYC's public health care system, New York City's Health and Hospitals Corporation. Clinical characteristics, mechanism of injury, and mortality of trauma patients presenting during the early pandemic (March 1, 2020, to May 31, 2020) were compared with a similar period in the previous 2 years. To account for important patient and hospital-level confounding variables, we created a propensity score for treatment and applied inverse probability weighting.

          RESULTS

          In March to May 2020, there was a 25% decrease in median number of monthly trauma visits (693 vs. 528; p = 0.02) but a 50% increase (15% vs. 22%; p = <0.001) in patients presenting for penetrating injuries, compared with the same period for 2018 and 2019. Injured patients with COVID were significantly more likely to die compared with those without COVID-19 (10.5% vs. 3.6%; p < 0.001). Overall, there was no significant difference in mortality for non–COVID-injured New Yorkers cared for in 2020 compared with 2018 and 2019. Less severely injured non-COVID patients (Injury Severity Score, <15), however, were significantly more likely to die compared with this same subgroup in 2018 and 2019 (adjusted relative risk, 2.7 [95% confidence interval, 1.5–4.7]).

          CONCLUSION

          Despite a decline in overall trauma visits during the early part of the COVID pandemic in NYC, there was a significant increase in the proportion of penetrating mechanisms. Less-injured non-COVID patients experienced an increase in mortality in the early pandemic, possibly from a depletion of human and hospital resources from the large influx of COVID patients. These data lend support to the safeguarding of trauma system resources in the event of a future pandemic.

          LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

          Prognostic and Epidemiologic; Level III.

          Abstract

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          Most cited references21

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          A Novel Coronavirus from Patients with Pneumonia in China, 2019

          Summary In December 2019, a cluster of patients with pneumonia of unknown cause was linked to a seafood wholesale market in Wuhan, China. A previously unknown betacoronavirus was discovered through the use of unbiased sequencing in samples from patients with pneumonia. Human airway epithelial cells were used to isolate a novel coronavirus, named 2019-nCoV, which formed a clade within the subgenus sarbecovirus, Orthocoronavirinae subfamily. Different from both MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV, 2019-nCoV is the seventh member of the family of coronaviruses that infect humans. Enhanced surveillance and further investigation are ongoing. (Funded by the National Key Research and Development Program of China and the National Major Project for Control and Prevention of Infectious Disease in China.)
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            An interactive web-based dashboard to track COVID-19 in real time

            In December, 2019, a local outbreak of pneumonia of initially unknown cause was detected in Wuhan (Hubei, China), and was quickly determined to be caused by a novel coronavirus, 1 namely severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The outbreak has since spread to every province of mainland China as well as 27 other countries and regions, with more than 70 000 confirmed cases as of Feb 17, 2020. 2 In response to this ongoing public health emergency, we developed an online interactive dashboard, hosted by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA, to visualise and track reported cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in real time. The dashboard, first shared publicly on Jan 22, illustrates the location and number of confirmed COVID-19 cases, deaths, and recoveries for all affected countries. It was developed to provide researchers, public health authorities, and the general public with a user-friendly tool to track the outbreak as it unfolds. All data collected and displayed are made freely available, initially through Google Sheets and now through a GitHub repository, along with the feature layers of the dashboard, which are now included in the Esri Living Atlas. The dashboard reports cases at the province level in China; at the city level in the USA, Australia, and Canada; and at the country level otherwise. During Jan 22–31, all data collection and processing were done manually, and updates were typically done twice a day, morning and night (US Eastern Time). As the outbreak evolved, the manual reporting process became unsustainable; therefore, on Feb 1, we adopted a semi-automated living data stream strategy. Our primary data source is DXY, an online platform run by members of the Chinese medical community, which aggregates local media and government reports to provide cumulative totals of COVID-19 cases in near real time at the province level in China and at the country level otherwise. Every 15 min, the cumulative case counts are updated from DXY for all provinces in China and for other affected countries and regions. For countries and regions outside mainland China (including Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan), we found DXY cumulative case counts to frequently lag behind other sources; we therefore manually update these case numbers throughout the day when new cases are identified. To identify new cases, we monitor various Twitter feeds, online news services, and direct communication sent through the dashboard. Before manually updating the dashboard, we confirm the case numbers with regional and local health departments, including the respective centres for disease control and prevention (CDC) of China, Taiwan, and Europe, the Hong Kong Department of Health, the Macau Government, and WHO, as well as city-level and state-level health authorities. For city-level case reports in the USA, Australia, and Canada, which we began reporting on Feb 1, we rely on the US CDC, the government of Canada, the Australian Government Department of Health, and various state or territory health authorities. All manual updates (for countries and regions outside mainland China) are coordinated by a team at Johns Hopkins University. The case data reported on the dashboard aligns with the daily Chinese CDC 3 and WHO situation reports 2 for within and outside of mainland China, respectively (figure ). Furthermore, the dashboard is particularly effective at capturing the timing of the first reported case of COVID-19 in new countries or regions (appendix). With the exception of Australia, Hong Kong, and Italy, the CSSE at Johns Hopkins University has reported newly infected countries ahead of WHO, with Hong Kong and Italy reported within hours of the corresponding WHO situation report. Figure Comparison of COVID-19 case reporting from different sources Daily cumulative case numbers (starting Jan 22, 2020) reported by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE), WHO situation reports, and the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese CDC) for within (A) and outside (B) mainland China. Given the popularity and impact of the dashboard to date, we plan to continue hosting and managing the tool throughout the entirety of the COVID-19 outbreak and to build out its capabilities to establish a standing tool to monitor and report on future outbreaks. We believe our efforts are crucial to help inform modelling efforts and control measures during the earliest stages of the outbreak.
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              Critical Supply Shortages — The Need for Ventilators and Personal Protective Equipment during the Covid-19 Pandemic

              New England Journal of Medicine
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                J Trauma Acute Care Surg
                J Trauma Acute Care Surg
                JT
                The Journal of Trauma and Acute Care Surgery
                Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
                2163-0755
                2163-0763
                August 2022
                10 November 2021
                10 November 2021
                : 93
                : 2
                : 247-255
                Affiliations
                [1]From the Jacobi Medical Center (A.L., H.M., E.C., S.H.R., S.H.T., J.A.M.) Bronx, New York; Albert Einstein College of Medicine, (A.L., M.E.S., H.M., E.C., S.H.R., S.H.T., J.A.M.) Bronx, New York; Kings County Hospital Center (M.E.S., V.R.), Brooklyn, New York; Elmhurst Hospital Center (G.A.), Queens, New York; Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai (G.A.), New York, New York; Bellevue Hospital Center (M.B.), New York, New York; NYU Langone Medical Center (M.B.), New York, New York; NYU Grossman School of Medicine (M.B.), New York, New York; Lincoln Hospital (S.M.), Bronx, New York; Weill-Cornell Medical College (S.M.), New York, New York; and SUNY Downstate Medical College (V.R.), Brooklyn, New York.
                Author notes
                [*]Address for reprints: Anna Liveris, MD, Jacobi Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, 1400 Pelham Parkway S, Bronx, NY 10461; email: anna.liveris@ 123456nychhc.org .
                Article
                JT_210407 00013
                10.1097/TA.0000000000003460
                9322893
                35881035
                b4e567ef-d9c5-44e6-b6fe-6711eb2419a2
                Copyright © 2021 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.

                This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the COVID-19 pandemic or until permissions are revoked in writing. Upon expiration of these permissions, PMC is granted a perpetual license to make this article available via PMC and Europe PMC, consistent with existing copyright protections.

                History
                : 23 August 2021
                : 30 October 2021
                : 1 November 2021
                Product

                Bronx, New York

                Categories
                Independent Submission
                Custom metadata
                T

                covid-19,trauma,resources,violence
                covid-19, trauma, resources, violence

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