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      An Externally Validated Nomogram for Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis of Presumed Stage I and II Endometrial Cancer

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          Abstract

          Background: Optimal management for endometrial cancer in patients with clinically negative lymph nodes is still under debate. Several prediction models for lymphatic dissemination of early-stage endometrial cancer have been developed. However, external validation is rare, and decision curve analysis has hardly been applied for these models.

          Objective: To develop and validate a nomogram to predict lymph node metastasis of presumed stage I and II endometrial cancer.

          Study Design: The prediction nomogram was developed by using multivariable logistic regression with data for 700 EC patients who underwent initial surgery from 2006 to 2017 at Peking University People's Hospital (training dataset), Beijing. External validation was performed in 727 eligible patients from Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (validation dataset), Shanghai.

          Results: For the 700 women in the training dataset, the lymph node metastasis rate was 8.0% (56/700). Lymphovascular space invasion, histological grade, cervical stromal invasion, and myometrial invasion were independent prognostic factors in the training dataset. We generated a nomogram based on these pathological factors. To determine the clinical usefulness of our nomogram, we compared it with the Mayo criteria. For our nomogram, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.85 as compared with 0.63 for the Mayo criteria. In the validation dataset, the AUC was 0.78 as compared with 0.57 for the Mayo criteria. The nomogram was well-calibrated in both the training and validation datasets. At a 10% probability threshold, our nomogram decreased almost 29 unnecessary lymphadenectomies per 100 patients than the Mayo criteria without missing more metastatic disease.

          Conclusion: We developed a nomogram to predict lymph node metastasis in patients with early-stage endometrial cancer in China. This prediction model may help clinicians in decision-making for patients with early-stage endometrial cancer, especially for the patient with incomplete surgery, reducing overtreatment, and medical costs.

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          Most cited references17

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          Efficacy of systematic pelvic lymphadenectomy in endometrial cancer (MRC ASTEC trial): a randomised study

          (2009)
          Summary Background Hysterectomy and bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy (BSO) is the standard surgery for stage I endometrial cancer. Systematic pelvic lymphadenectomy has been used to establish whether there is extra-uterine disease and as a therapeutic procedure; however, randomised trials need to be done to assess therapeutic efficacy. The ASTEC surgical trial investigated whether pelvic lymphadenectomy could improve survival of women with endometrial cancer. Methods From 85 centres in four countries, 1408 women with histologically proven endometrial carcinoma thought preoperatively to be confined to the corpus were randomly allocated by a minimisation method to standard surgery (hysterectomy and BSO, peritoneal washings, and palpation of para-aortic nodes; n=704) or standard surgery plus lymphadenectomy (n=704). The primary outcome measure was overall survival. To control for postsurgical treatment, women with early-stage disease at intermediate or high risk of recurrence were randomised (independent of lymph-node status) into the ASTEC radiotherapy trial. Analysis was by intention to treat. This study is registered, number ISRCTN 16571884. Findings After a median follow-up of 37 months (IQR 24–58), 191 women (88 standard surgery group, 103 lymphadenectomy group) had died, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1·16 (95% CI 0·87–1·54; p=0·31) in favour of standard surgery and an absolute difference in 5-year overall survival of 1% (95% CI −4 to 6). 251 women died or had recurrent disease (107 standard surgery group, 144 lymphadenectomy group), with an HR of 1·35 (1·06–1·73; p=0·017) in favour of standard surgery and an absolute difference in 5-year recurrence-free survival of 6% (1–12). With adjustment for baseline characteristics and pathology details, the HR for overall survival was 1·04 (0·74–1·45; p=0·83) and for recurrence-free survival was 1·25 (0·93–1·66; p=0·14). Interpretation Our results show no evidence of benefit in terms of overall or recurrence-free survival for pelvic lymphadenectomy in women with early endometrial cancer. Pelvic lymphadenectomy cannot be recommended as routine procedure for therapeutic purposes outside of clinical trials. Funding Medical Research Council and National Cancer Research Network.
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            Detection rate and diagnostic accuracy of sentinel-node biopsy in early stage endometrial cancer: a prospective multicentre study (SENTI-ENDO).

            Retrospective single-centre series have shown the feasibility of sentinel lymph-node (SLN) identification in endometrial cancer. We did a prospective, multicentre cohort study to assess the detection rate and diagnostic accuracy of the SLN procedure in predicting the pathological pelvic-node status in patients with early stage endometrial cancer. Patients with International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage I-II endometrial cancer had pelvic SLN assessment via cervical dual injection (with technetium and patent blue), and systematic pelvic-node dissection. All lymph nodes were histopathologically examined and SLNs were serial sectioned and examined by immunochemistry. The primary endpoint was estimation of the negative predictive value (NPV) of sentinel-node biopsy per hemipelvis. This is an ongoing study for which recruitment has ended. The study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00987051. From July 5, 2007, to Aug 4, 2009, 133 patients were enrolled at nine centres in France. No complications occurred after injection of technetium colloid and no anaphylactic reactions were noted after patent blue injection. No surgical complications were reported during SLN biopsy, including procedures that involved conversion to open surgery. At least one SLN was detected in 111 of the 125 eligible patients. 19 of 111 (17%) had pelvic-lymph-node metastases. Five of 111 patients (5%) had an associated SLN in the para-aortic area. Considering the hemipelvis as the unit of analysis, NPV was 100% (95% CI 95-100) and sensitivity 100% (63-100). Considering the patient as the unit of analysis, three patients had false-negative results (two had metastatic nodes in the contralateral pelvic area and one in the para-aortic area), giving an NPV of 97% (95% CI 91-99) and sensitivity of 84% (62-95). All three of these patients had type 2 endometrial cancer. Immunohistochemistry and serial sectioning detected metastases undiagnosed by conventional histology in nine of 111 (8%) patients with detected SLNs, representing nine of the 19 patients (47%) with metastases. SLN biopsy upstaged 10% of patients with low-risk and 15% of those with intermediate-risk endometrial cancer. SLN biopsy with cervical dual labelling could be a trade-off between systematic lymphadenectomy and no dissection at all in patients with endometrial cancer of low or intermediate risk. Moreover, our study suggests that SLN biopsy could provide important data to tailor adjuvant therapy. Direction Interrégionale de Recherche Clinique, Ile-de-France, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris. Copyright © 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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              Complications of lymphadenectomy for gynecologic cancer.

              Symptomatic postoperative lymphocysts (SPOLs) and lower-limb lymphedema (LLL) are probably underestimated complications of lymphadenectomy for gynecologic malignancies. Here, our objective was to evaluate the incidence and risk factors of SPOLs and LLL after pelvic and/or aortocaval lymphadenectomy for gynecologic malignancies. Single-center retrospective study of consecutive patients who underwent pelvic and/or aortocaval lymphadenectomy for ovarian cancer, endometrial cancer, or cervical cancer between January 2007 and November 2008. The incidences of SPOL and LLL were computed with their 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs). Multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify independent risk factors for SPOL and LLL. We identified 88 patients including 36 with ovarian cancer, 35 with endometrial cancer, and 17 with cervical cancer. The overall incidence of SPOL was 34.5% (95%CI, 25-45) and that of LLL was 11.4% (95% confidence interval [95%CI], 5-18). Endometrial cancer was independently associated with a lower risk of SPOL (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.09; 95%CI, 0.02-0.44) and one or more positive pelvic nodes with a higher risk of SPOL (aOR, 4.4; 95%CI, 1.2-16.3). Multivariate logistic regression failed to identify factors significantly associated with LLL. Complications of lymphadenectomy for gynecologic malignancies are common. This finding supports a more restrictive use of lymphadenectomy or the use of less invasive techniques such as sentinel node biopsy. Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Front Oncol
                Front Oncol
                Front. Oncol.
                Frontiers in Oncology
                Frontiers Media S.A.
                2234-943X
                14 November 2019
                2019
                : 9
                : 1218
                Affiliations
                [1] 1Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Peking University People's Hospital , Beijing, China
                [2] 2Department of Gynecologic Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center , Shanghai, China
                [3] 3Research Center of Clinical Epidemiology, Peking University Third Hospital , Beijing, China
                Author notes

                Edited by: Sarah M. Temkin, Virginia Commonwealth University, United States

                Reviewed by: Kruti P. Maniar, Northwestern University, United States; Khalid El Bairi, Mohamed Premier University, Morocco

                *Correspondence: Jianliu Wang wangjianliu@ 123456pkuph.edu.cn

                This article was submitted to Women's Cancer, a section of the journal Frontiers in Oncology

                †These authors have contributed equally to this work

                Article
                10.3389/fonc.2019.01218
                6868023
                31799187
                a96fa028-a85a-4183-95c0-a9e74e0be348
                Copyright © 2019 Dong, Cheng, Tian, Zhang, Wang, Li, Shan, Ren, Wei, Wang and Wang.

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

                History
                : 20 May 2019
                : 24 October 2019
                Page count
                Figures: 6, Tables: 8, Equations: 2, References: 20, Pages: 11, Words: 5594
                Funding
                Funded by: National Natural Science Foundation of China 10.13039/501100001809
                Categories
                Oncology
                Original Research

                Oncology & Radiotherapy
                lymph node metastasis,endometrial cancer,nomogram,validation,net benefit
                Oncology & Radiotherapy
                lymph node metastasis, endometrial cancer, nomogram, validation, net benefit

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