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      Vaccine effectiveness of primary series and booster doses against covid-19 associated hospital admissions in the United States: living test negative design study

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          Abstract

          Objective

          To compare the effectiveness of a primary covid-19 vaccine series plus booster doses with a primary series alone for the prevention of hospital admission with omicron related covid-19 in the United States.

          Design

          Multicenter observational case-control study with a test negative design.

          Setting

          Hospitals in 18 US states.

          Participants

          4760 adults admitted to one of 21 hospitals with acute respiratory symptoms between 26 December 2021 and 30 June 2022, a period when the omicron variant was dominant. Participants included 2385 (50.1%) patients with laboratory confirmed covid-19 (cases) and 2375 (49.9%) patients who tested negative for SARS-CoV-2 (controls).

          Main outcome measures

          The main outcome was vaccine effectiveness against hospital admission with covid-19 for a primary series plus booster doses and a primary series alone by comparing the odds of being vaccinated with each of these regimens versus being unvaccinated among cases versus controls. Vaccine effectiveness analyses were stratified by immunosuppression status (immunocompetent, immunocompromised). The primary analysis evaluated all covid-19 vaccine types combined, and secondary analyses evaluated specific vaccine products.

          Results

          Overall, median age of participants was 64 years (interquartile range 52-75 years), 994 (20.8%) were immunocompromised, 85 (1.8%) were vaccinated with a primary series plus two boosters, 1367 (28.7%) with a primary series plus one booster, and 1875 (39.3%) with a primary series alone, and 1433 (30.1%) were unvaccinated. Among immunocompetent participants, vaccine effectiveness for prevention of hospital admission with omicron related covid-19 for a primary series plus two boosters was 63% (95% confidence interval 37% to 78%), a primary series plus one booster was 65% (58% to 71%), and for a primary series alone was 37% (25% to 47%) (P<0.001 for the pooled boosted regimens compared with a primary series alone). Vaccine effectiveness was higher for a boosted regimen than for a primary series alone for both mRNA vaccines (BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech): 73% (44% to 87%) for primary series plus two boosters, 64% (55% to 72%) for primary series plus one booster, and 36% (21% to 48%) for primary series alone (P<0.001); mRNA-1273 (Moderna): 68% (17% to 88%) for primary series plus two boosters, 65% (55% to 73%) for primary series plus one booster, and 41% (25% to 54%) for primary series alone (P=0.001)). Among immunocompromised patients, vaccine effectiveness for a primary series plus one booster was 69% (31% to 86%) and for a primary series alone was 49% (30% to 63%) (P=0.04).

          Conclusion

          During the first six months of 2022 in the US, booster doses of a covid-19 vaccine provided additional benefit beyond a primary vaccine series alone for preventing hospital admissions with omicron related covid-19.

          Readers’ note

          This article is a living test negative design study that will be updated to reflect emerging evidence. Updates may occur for up to two years from the date of original publication.

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          Most cited references41

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          A dynamic nomenclature proposal for SARS-CoV-2 lineages to assist genomic epidemiology

          The ongoing pandemic spread of a novel human coronavirus, SARS-COV-2, associated with severe pneumonia disease (COVID-19), has resulted in the generation of tens of thousands of virus genome sequences. The rate of genome generation is unprecedented, yet there is currently no coherent nor accepted scheme for naming the expanding phylogenetic diversity of SARS-CoV-2. We present a rational and dynamic virus nomenclature that uses a phylogenetic framework to identify those lineages that contribute most to active spread. Our system is made tractable by constraining the number and depth of hierarchical lineage labels and by flagging and de-labelling virus lineages that become unobserved and hence are likely inactive. By focusing on active virus lineages and those spreading to new locations this nomenclature will assist in tracking and understanding the patterns and determinants of the global spread of SARS-CoV-2.
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            Covid-19 Vaccine Effectiveness against the Omicron (B.1.1.529) Variant

            Background A rapid increase in coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) cases due to the omicron (B.1.1.529) variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 in highly vaccinated populations has aroused concerns about the effectiveness of current vaccines. Methods We used a test-negative case–control design to estimate vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic disease caused by the omicron and delta (B.1.617.2) variants in England. Vaccine effectiveness was calculated after primary immunization with two doses of BNT162b2 (Pfizer–BioNTech), ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AstraZeneca), or mRNA-1273 (Moderna) vaccine and after a booster dose of BNT162b2, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, or mRNA-1273. Results Between November 27, 2021, and January 12, 2022, a total of 886,774 eligible persons infected with the omicron variant, 204,154 eligible persons infected with the delta variant, and 1,572,621 eligible test-negative controls were identified. At all time points investigated and for all combinations of primary course and booster vaccines, vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic disease was higher for the delta variant than for the omicron variant. No effect against the omicron variant was noted from 20 weeks after two ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 doses, whereas vaccine effectiveness after two BNT162b2 doses was 65.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 63.9 to 67.0) at 2 to 4 weeks, dropping to 8.8% (95% CI, 7.0 to 10.5) at 25 or more weeks. Among ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 primary course recipients, vaccine effectiveness increased to 62.4% (95% CI, 61.8 to 63.0) at 2 to 4 weeks after a BNT162b2 booster before decreasing to 39.6% (95% CI, 38.0 to 41.1) at 10 or more weeks. Among BNT162b2 primary course recipients, vaccine effectiveness increased to 67.2% (95% CI, 66.5 to 67.8) at 2 to 4 weeks after a BNT162b2 booster before declining to 45.7% (95% CI, 44.7 to 46.7) at 10 or more weeks. Vaccine effectiveness after a ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 primary course increased to 70.1% (95% CI, 69.5 to 70.7) at 2 to 4 weeks after an mRNA-1273 booster and decreased to 60.9% (95% CI, 59.7 to 62.1) at 5 to 9 weeks. After a BNT162b2 primary course, the mRNA-1273 booster increased vaccine effectiveness to 73.9% (95% CI, 73.1 to 74.6) at 2 to 4 weeks; vaccine effectiveness fell to 64.4% (95% CI, 62.6 to 66.1) at 5 to 9 weeks. Conclusions Primary immunization with two doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 or BNT162b2 vaccine provided limited protection against symptomatic disease caused by the omicron variant. A BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273 booster after either the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 or BNT162b2 primary course substantially increased protection, but that protection waned over time. (Funded by the U.K. Health Security Agency.)
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              Rapid epidemic expansion of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in southern Africa

              The SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in southern Africa has been characterized by three distinct waves. The first was associated with a mix of SARS-CoV-2 lineages, while the second and third waves were driven by the Beta (B.1.351) and Delta (B.1.617.2) variants, respectively 1–3 . In November 2021, genomic surveillance teams in South Africa and Botswana detected a new SARS-CoV-2 variant associated with a rapid resurgence of infections in Gauteng province, South Africa. Within three days of the first genome being uploaded, it was designated a variant of concern (Omicron, B.1.1.529) by the World Health Organization and, within three weeks, had been identified in 87 countries. The Omicron variant is exceptional for carrying over 30 mutations in the spike glycoprotein, which are predicted to influence antibody neutralization and spike function 4 . Here we describe the genomic profile and early transmission dynamics of Omicron, highlighting the rapid spread in regions with high levels of population immunity.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: epidemiologist
                Role: immunologist
                Role: medical officer
                Role: professor
                Role: professor
                Role: professor
                Role: associate professor
                Role: assistant professor
                Role: clinical pharmacist
                Role: professor
                Role: associate professor
                Role: associate professor
                Role: associate professor
                Role: assistant professor
                Role: associate professor
                Role: assistant professor
                Role: assistant professor
                Role: professor
                Role: associate professor
                Role: professor
                Role: associate professor
                Role: associate professor
                Role: associate professor
                Role: assistant professor
                Role: associate professor
                Role: associate professor
                Role: professor
                Role: pulmonary and critical care physician
                Role: associate professor
                Role: associate professor
                Role: professor
                Role: professor
                Role: professor
                Role: microbiologist
                Role: lead microbiologist
                Role: microbiologist
                Role: medical officer
                Role: medical officer
                Role: medical officer
                Role: clinical and translational scientist
                Journal
                BMJ
                BMJ
                BMJ-US
                bmj
                The BMJ
                BMJ Publishing Group Ltd.
                0959-8138
                1756-1833
                2022
                11 October 2022
                11 October 2022
                : 379
                : e072065
                Affiliations
                [1 ]CDC COVID-19 Response Team, Atlanta, GA, USA
                [2 ]Vanderbilt Institute for Clinical and Translational Research, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
                [3 ]Baylor Scott and White Health, Texas A&M University College of Medicine, Temple, TX, USA
                [4 ]Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA
                [5 ]Department of Medicine¸ Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
                [6 ]Department of Health Policy, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
                [7 ]Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, USA
                [8 ]Department of Emergency Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA
                [9 ]Department of Medicine, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, USA
                [10 ]Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
                [11 ]Department of Medicine, Hennepin County Medical Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
                [12 ]Department of Medicine, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA
                [13 ]Department of Medicine, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA
                [14 ]Department of Emergency Medicine and Division of Pulmonary, Critical Care and Sleep Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
                [15 ]Department of Medicine, Baystate Medical Center, Springfield, MA, USA
                [16 ]Department of Medicine, Intermountain Medical Center, Murray, Utah and University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA
                [17 ]School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
                [18 ]Departments of Internal Medicine and Microbiology and Immunology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
                [19 ]Department of Medicine, Oregon Health and Sciences University, Portland, OR, USA
                [20 ]Department of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
                [21 ]Department of Medicine, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA
                [22 ]Department of Emergency Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
                [23 ]Department of Medicine, University of California-Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
                [24 ]Department of Medicine, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA
                [25 ]Department of Medicine, Washington University, St Louis, MI, USA
                [26 ]Department of Pediatrics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
                [27 ]Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
                [28 ]Department of Emergency Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
                Author notes
                Correspondence to: W H Self wesley.self@ 123456vumc.org
                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9300-3045
                Article
                bmj-2022-072065.R1 adak072065
                10.1136/bmj-2022-072065
                9551237
                36220174
                8e59e214-2721-4713-90d2-8dace315ae5f
                © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2019. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.

                This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/.

                History
                : 31 August 2022
                Funding
                Funded by: FundRef http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000030, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention;
                Funded by: FundRef http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100006108, National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences;
                Categories
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                Medicine
                Medicine

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