Luke Kemp:
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3816-564X
Role: ConceptualizationRole: Data curationRole: Formal analysisRole: InvestigationRole:
Project administrationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
David C. Aldridge: Role: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing –
review & editing
Olaf Booy: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Hilary Bower:
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1541-6637
Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Des Browne: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Mark Burgmann: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Austin Burt: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Andrew A. Cunningham: Role: ConceptualizationRole: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing
– review & editing
Malcolm Dando: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Jaimie T. A. Dick: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Christopher Dye: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Sam Weiss Evans: Role: ConceptualizationRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Writing – original
draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Belinda Gallardo: Role: ConceptualizationRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Writing – original
draftRole: Writing – review & editing
H. Charles J. Godfray: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Ian Goodfellow: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Simon Gubbins:
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0538-4173
Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Lauren A. Holt: Role: ConceptualizationRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Writing – original
draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Kate E. Jones: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Hazem Kandil: Role: ConceptualizationRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Writing – original
draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Phillip Martin: Role: ConceptualizationRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Writing – original
draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Mark McCaughan: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Caitríona McLeish: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Thomas Meany: Role: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Kathryn Millett: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Sean S. ÓhÉigeartaigh: Role: ConceptualizationRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Writing – original
draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Nicola J. Patron:
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8389-1851
Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Catherine Rhodes: Role: ConceptualizationRole: Funding acquisitionRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole:
Project administrationRole: SupervisionRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing
– review & editing
Helen E. Roy: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Gorm Shackelford:
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0949-0934
Role: ConceptualizationRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Writing – original
draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Derek Smith: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Nicola Spence:
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2589-2511
Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Helene Steiner: Role: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing –
review & editing
Lalitha S. Sundaram:
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9595-9753
Role: ConceptualizationRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Writing – original
draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Silja Voeneky: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
John R. Walker: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Harry Watkins:
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4038-7145
Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
Simon Whitby:
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5022-3286
Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
James Wood: Role: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
William J. Sutherland:
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6498-0437
Role: ConceptualizationRole: Funding acquisitionRole: SupervisionRole: Writing – review
& editing
Igor Linkov: Role: Editor
Journal ID (nlm-ta): PLoS One
Journal ID (iso-abbrev): PLoS One
Journal ID (publisher-id): plos
Journal ID (pmc): plosone
Title:
PLoS ONE
Publisher:
Public Library of Science
(San Francisco, CA USA
)
ISSN
(Electronic):
1932-6203
Publication date
(Electronic):
6
January
2021
Publication date Collection: 2021
Volume: 16
Issue: 1
Electronic Location Identifier: e0241190
Affiliations
[1
]
Biosecurity Research Initiative at St Catharine’s (BioRISC), St Catharine’s College,
University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
[2
]
Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (CSER), University of Cambridge, Cambridge,
United Kingdom
[3
]
Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
[4
]
Great Britain Non-native Species Secretariat, Sand Hutton, Animal and Plant Health
Agency, York, United Kingdom
[5
]
Centre for Wildlife Management, School of Biology, Newcastle University, Newcastle-upon-Tyne,
United Kingdom
[6
]
UK Public Health Rapid Support Team, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine,
London, United Kingdom
[7
]
Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
[8
]
UK Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
[9
]
Institute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, London, United Kingdom
[10
]
Division of Peace Studies and International Development, University of Bradford, Bradford,
United Kingdom
[11
]
Institute for Global Food Security, School of Biological Sciences, Queen’s University
Belfast, Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom
[12
]
Oxford Martin School and Department of Zoology, Oxford University, Oxford, United
Kingdom
[13
]
Program on Science, Technology, and Society, Tufts University, Medford, Massachusetts,
United States of America
[14
]
Department of Pathology, Addenbrooke’s Hospital, University of Cambridge, Cambridge,
United Kingdom
[15
]
The Pirbright Institute, Pirbright, Surrey, United Kingdom
[16
]
Centre for Biodiversity and Environment Research, Department of Genetics, Evolution
and Environment, University College London, London, United Kingdom
[17
]
Marine and Fisheries Division, Department of Agriculture and Rural Affairs Northern
Ireland, Downpatrick, United Kingdom
[18
]
SPRU, University of Sussex, Falmer, Brighton, United Kingdom
[19
]
OpenCell, London, United Kingdom
[20
]
Biosecure Ltd, Bourton-on-the-Water, United Kingdom
[21
]
Earlham Institute, Norwich, United Kingdom
[22
]
Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Crowmarsh Gifford, United Kingdom
[23
]
Centre for Pathogen Evolution, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge,
United Kingdom
[24
]
Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra), London, United Kingdom
[25
]
Department for Public International Law, Comparative Law, and Ethics of Law, Law Faculty,
Freiburg University, Freiburg, Germany
[26
]
Arms Control and Disarmament Research Unit, Foreign and Commonwealth Office, London,
United Kingdom
[27
]
Department of Landscape, Arts Tower, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom
[28
]
Department of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, UNITED STATES
Author notes
Competing Interests: Authors TM and HS are affiliated with Opencell. KM is affiliated with Biosecure Ltd.
Arcadia provided support in the form of salaries for authors WS and CR. There are
no patents, products in development or marketed products to declare. This does not
alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials.
Author information
Article
Publisher ID:
PONE-D-19-34679
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0241190
PMC ID: 7787535
PubMed ID: 33406134
SO-VID: 8691e0ed-2bca-4cb3-89fe-dac7ad182071
Copyright © © 2021 Kemp et al
License:
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the
Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided
the original author and source are credited.
Funded by: David and Claudia Harding Foundation
Award Recipient
:
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6498-0437
William J. Sutherland
The David and Claudia Harding Foundation for provided funding for the BioRISC project.
Arcadia provided support in the form of salaries for authors WS. and CR. TM and HS
are affiliated with Opencell. KM is affiliated with Biosecure Ltd. The funders did
not have any role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish,
or preparation of the manuscript. The specific roles of these authors are articulated
in the ‘author contributions’ section."
Subject:
Research Article
Subject:
Ecology and Environmental Sciences
Subject:
Species Colonization
Subject:
Invasive Species
Subject:
Medicine and Health Sciences
Subject:
Epidemiology
Subject:
Medical Risk Factors
Subject:
Social Sciences
Subject:
Political Science
Subject:
National Security
Subject:
Biology and Life Sciences
Subject:
Veterinary Science
Subject:
Veterinary Diseases
Subject:
Biology and Life Sciences
Subject:
Bioengineering
Subject:
Engineering and Technology
Subject:
Bioengineering
Subject:
Medicine and Health Sciences
Subject:
Epidemiology
Subject:
Pandemics
Subject:
Science Policy
Subject:
Biology and life sciences
Subject:
Organisms
Subject:
Viruses
Subject:
RNA viruses
Subject:
Orthomyxoviruses
Subject:
Influenza Viruses
Subject:
Biology and Life Sciences
Subject:
Microbiology
Subject:
Medical Microbiology
Subject:
Microbial Pathogens
Subject:
Viral Pathogens
Subject:
Orthomyxoviruses
Subject:
Influenza Viruses
Subject:
Medicine and Health Sciences
Subject:
Pathology and Laboratory Medicine
Subject:
Pathogens
Subject:
Microbial Pathogens
Subject:
Viral Pathogens
Subject:
Orthomyxoviruses
Subject:
Influenza Viruses
Subject:
Biology and Life Sciences
Subject:
Organisms
Subject:
Viruses
Subject:
Viral Pathogens
Subject:
Orthomyxoviruses
Subject:
Influenza Viruses
