13
views
0
recommends
+1 Recommend
3 collections
    0
    shares
      • Record: found
      • Abstract: not found
      • Article: not found

      Lung health in Africa: challenges and opportunities in the context of COVID-19

      editorial

      Read this article at

      ScienceOpenPublisherPMC
      Bookmark
          There is no author summary for this article yet. Authors can add summaries to their articles on ScienceOpen to make them more accessible to a non-specialist audience.

          Abstract

          INTRODUCTION The emergence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in December 2019 caused unprecedented challenges to healthcare worldwide. Although at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic it was projected that Africa would suffer a huge pandemic, the reality is that the number of severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections and deaths from COVID-19 have not been as large as projected. Africa has currently reported ∼4.6 million confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection against a global total of 190.5 million confirmed infections and 107,000 deaths against the global total of 4 million deaths from COVID-19, with a contribution of 2.4% and 2.7% of all confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections and COVID-19 deaths, respectively (1). The reasons for this may include the relatively youthful population of the region, genetic factors, climatic conditions, high exposure to other infectious diseases with the development of trained immunity, and use of COVID-19 mitigation measures very early in the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic (2). However, lack of testing for diagnosis or poor access to healthcare facilities with many deaths outside such facilities may also influence these estimates. The COVID-19 pandemic has caused global devastation among high-income and low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). In Africa and other LMICs, the direct impact including COVID-related illness and deaths as well as the indirect effects on economies, other health-related conditions, education, and social services have been overwhelming and are likely to endure, threatening to shape the future of its population. This pandemic poses challenges to the well-being of both adults and children in Africa, which is made more profound by weak health systems, preexisting poor population health, and low socioeconomic status pervasive in the continent. Also, high exposure to potentially harmful environmental factors such as tobacco smoke or air pollution may be associated with a greater risk of severe COVID-19. Furthermore, the ability of health systems to deal with increasing numbers of people with COVID-related illness and to upscale and widely implement vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 is a challenge. However, within these challenges also lies opportunities for the continent to leverage this health crisis to improve the lives of its people. The ability to mitigate this pandemic requires a multifaceted approach embracing global partnerships and alliances. ADULT LUNG HEALTH IN AFRICA IN THE CONTEXT OF COVID-19 Chronic respiratory diseases (CRDs), including asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), are common and rising public health concerns in Africa (3, 4). These diseases were relatively neglected with no public health programs in place for them in most countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (sSA) (5). Consequently, the provision of healthcare for CRDs such as asthma and COPD has been suboptimal even before the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic has further compromised the situation and negatively impacted care and treatment for these diseases. Most guidelines recommend that pulmonary function tests should be limited to the most essential tests when possible for fear of transmission of SARS-CoV-2 (6). This recommendation is likely to constrain efforts that were being made to promote spirometry testing in sSA and will further compromise the diagnosis of CRDs in the continent (7). We hypothesize that in the African setting, the COVID-19 pandemic has reduced the number of people diagnosed with asthma, worsening the already existing wide gaps between prevalent cases of asthma and those accessing appropriate care and treatment for their disease for several reasons. These reasons include inadequate services for asthma as health resources are diverted to the COVID-19 response as well as fear of a diagnosis of COVID-19 and the attendant consequences, including isolation, keeping people away from healthcare facilities for fear of infection with SARS-CoV-2 infection, which is perceived by the population as fertile grounds for the transmission of this virus. Patients with asthma exacerbations who arrive at healthcare facilities may have delayed care for their disease as they are screened and tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection and may be at increased risk of acquiring infection with this virus if they are placed in holding areas where persons suspected to have COVID-19 are isolated as they await their COVID-19 test results. These interactions have not been studied in the African setting, and we urge African researchers, their partners, and funders to prioritize this area of research to gather the evidence needed to develop robust mitigation measures. It has been documented that people with chronic respiratory disease are at increased risk of developing severe disease when infected with SARS-CoV-2 (8). Data in the African setting are, however, sparse, and it remains unclear if people with asthma and COPD, especially those with COPD unrelated to tobacco smoking and people with tuberculosis (TB)-associated chronic lung disease, which are common forms of chronic respiratory disease in Africa, have an elevated risk of severe COVID-19. Similarly, there is a high burden of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-associated disease, especially in sSA; HIV-infected people, especially those whose disease is not well controlled with antiretroviral therapy or those with comorbidities such as diabetes or renal impairment, may be at increased risk for developing severe COVID-19 (9). Other underlying illnesses that place people at risk for developing severe COVID-19 are common in Africa. Cardiovascular disease including hypertension is one of the commonest noncommunicable diseases in the African population (10). Diabetes and obesity are increasingly emerging as important chronic illnesses in African populations (11). Each of these places individuals at increased risk for developing severe COVID-19. Acute lower respiratory infections (ALRIs) are more common in LMICs, with ∼70% occurring in South Asia and sSA (12). Pneumonia due to COVID-19 may be difficult to distinguish from bacterial community-acquired pneumonia. The lack of diagnostic tests for SARS-CoV-2 in the early days of the pandemic might have delayed the diagnosis and optimal management of bacterial pneumonia. Avoidance of medical settings by patients might have led to the late diagnosis of pneumonia from other causes and a consequent increase in pneumonia-related mortality overall. The COVID-19 outbreak has again brought the weaknesses of health systems in Africa to the forefront. In emergency departments of many hospitals across sSA, there is a lack of equipment and commodities, such as pulse oximeters and oxygen that are critical for the identification and treatment of people with serious lung disease. This situation implies that outcomes for people presenting to these facilities with COVID-19 and other respiratory emergencies, including asthma and COPD exacerbations, are likely to be poor. CHILD LUNG HEALTH IN AFRICA IN THE CONTEXT OF COVID-19 Respiratory illnesses remain a predominant cause of morbidity and mortality in African children, from both infectious causes and chronic noncommunicable disease. As children constitute a third to half of the African population, this comprises a large burden of illness. Pneumonia and tuberculosis disease remain key challenges for child health, whereas asthma is the commonest noncommunicable disease in children and adolescents. African children have been largely spared from moderate or severe illness with SARS-CoV-2 through the COVID-19 pandemic, as has occurred globally, but the indirect effects have substantially impacted child health. The incidence and severity of childhood pneumonia have reduced substantially with socioeconomic improvement, improved immunization strategies, particularly pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) and Haemophilus influenzae type b conjugate vaccine (Hib), and better prevention and management of HIV. Nevertheless, pneumonia remains the commonest cause of death in children under 5 yr outside the neonatal period, with almost 800,000 deaths in 2018, with more than half of the deaths occurring in Africa or Southeast Asia (12, 13). Childhood TB is common in Africa and has been reported to contribute up to 20% of the overall caseloads (14), although this is probably an underestimate given the challenges in confirming TB in children and lack of notification of childhood cases. Mycobacterium tuberculosis has increasingly been recognized as a pathogen in the context of acute pneumonia in children, comprising a large proportion of cases. Factors associated with the high burden and severity of respiratory disease in African children also include high exposure to air pollution or tobacco smoke, under-resourced health systems, and lack of access to effective preventive or management strategies. Furthermore, early life respiratory infection, particularly pneumonia or TB, may lead to a long-term impairment of health, setting a trajectory for the development of CRD through the course of life (15). Asthma is the commonest chronic disease in African children, with an increasing prevalence in both urban and rural settings. Although childhood asthma was regarded as rare in Africa, global epidemiological studies have shown that the prevalence in African children is similar or higher than the global average (16). Furthermore, asthma in Africa may be frequently undiagnosed, untreated, and more severe (17). Access to routine health services and follow-up during the pandemic may have compromised care of these children further. HIV-associated chronic lung diseases or bronchiectasis or bronchiolitis obliterans following lower respiratory tract infection or TB are other causes of chronic respiratory illness in African children. Although children and adolescents constitute a very small proportion of cases of COVID-19 and of COVID-associated mortality in Africa, similar to the patterns seen globally, the indirect effects on child health have been substantial. These include disruptions in delivery of essential healthcare services such as immunization and HIV or TB programs, increasing poverty levels, disrupted schooling, lack of access to school feeding schemes, and diversion of resources away from maternal and child health to adult COVID responses. With a large informal economic sector with little social protection in Africa, levels of poverty and hunger are increasing at an alarming rate, increasing the susceptibility of children to severe pneumonia from other pathogens, which is of concern. However, the use of nonpharmacological interventions, including universal mask wearing, social distancing, and hand hygiene, has reduced the incidence of influenza or respiratory syncytial virus-related illness, with reductions in a number of cases and hospitalization of children. Nevertheless, late presentation with severe disease may occur as families may be reluctant to attend health facilities in the context of COVID-19 or these may be inaccessible. Parental or family loss due to COVID-19 has compounded the effects on child health. While immunization program against COVID-19 has been initiated in many African countries, the rollout is slow (18). Greater coverage is urgently needed to protect populations including children and adolescents, who may be indirectly protected with high coverage of adult population groups. TUBERCULOSIS AND COVID-19 IN AFRICA: WHAT HAS HAPPENED? Sub-Saharan Africa bears a disproportionate burden of tuberculosis. It is currently estimated that ∼14% of the global population of ∼7.8 billion people live in sSA; however, in 2019, this region accounted for 25% of all incident cases of TB in the world (19). The drivers of the large burden of TB in the African setting include the concurrent HIV epidemic and rampant poverty. Nearly 75% of all people living with HIV are in sSA (20), and of the 736 million people who lived on less than $1.90 in 2015, 413 million (56%) lived in sSA (21). The link between poverty and TB has been firmly established and known for nearly a century, and it is therefore not surprising that Africa, with a large proportion of people living in extreme poverty, suffers a high burden of TB. An important question that needs to be addressed is the impact that COVID-19 has had on the TB epidemic in the African setting and what may be expected to happen as the COVID-19 pandemic continues to evolve. The first major concern has been the influence of COVID-19 on TB case findings. As a result of both societal fear of a new disease that had been depicted to be highly lethal and the mitigation measures put in place to protect society and the healthcare system, TB case findings declined significantly. Tuberculosis surveillance data from high TB-endemic settings have revealed significant declines in TB notification between 2019 (the pre-COVID era) and 2020 (the COVID era) (22). The decline in TB notification in the African settings has been of the order of ∼20% (23, 24). The decline in TB notifications has been attributed to disruption in TB service provisions, some of which have been related to closure of facilities that provide TB services and redirection of resources, including human, financial, and equipment (such as the Xpert platforms and others) to the COVID-19 response to confront a public health threat that was perceived to be more urgent and bigger. In addition, travel restrictions and a fear of health facilities have contributed to alterations in health-seeking behavior of the population. The full impact of these developments is not yet known, but it has been projected that TB incidence and deaths will rise globally to set the world back by several years in the fight against this age-old disease. In Sub-Saharan Africa, it has been projected that COVID-19 will lead to economic declines, with shrinkage of the gross domestic product of African countries of up to 1.4% with smaller economies contracting by a margin of up to 7.8% that will increase poverty rates (25). The rise in poverty in Africa because of the COVID-19 pandemic implies a rise in the burden of TB. The second effect of the COVID-19 pandemic is on treatment outcomes. With disruptions in TB service provision and the hurdles occasioned by COVID-19 mitigation measures in accessing health services combined with societal fear of health services, disruptions in TB treatment were expected to become more common. We need to see if this projection will be confirmed as national TB programs carry out cohort analysis of treatment outcomes of persons diagnosed with TB in 2020 and 2021 (in the COVID-19 era) to allow for comparisons to be made with those diagnosed and placed on treatment in the pre-COVID period. Preliminary data from Kenya, Malawi, and Zambia suggest that TB treatment outcomes in the COVID-19 era were slightly better than in the pre-COVID-19 era (26). Third, there have been concerns that persons with current or previous TB may have a worse COVID-19 disease clinical course than those without these conditions. The data so far suggests that this may be so (26), which is extremely worrying for countries in Sub-Saharan Africa with a large burden of TB, highlighting the need to develop robust mechanisms to protect these individuals from acquiring SARS-CoV-2 infections and consequently developing severe disease. Prioritizing these people in vaccination programs may be very helpful. In a continent that is struggling with a myriad of health problems on the background of very weak health systems, the COVID-19 pandemic could not have come at a worse time. The effect of this pandemic on TB is expected to be enormous and will add to the woes of a continent that has already been off track with its efforts to achieve End TB Strategy targets. All is not lost, however, and with concerted efforts including advocacy efforts to ensure African governments allocate sufficient resources to build and sustain robust and resilient health systems, the expected trajectory of the TB epidemic in Africa during and after the COVID-19 pandemic can be reset to get the African continent to reach the targets of the End TB Strategy. African governments must address the social determinants of TB. Now is the time to ramp up efforts to lift people out of poverty in Africa. On the other hand, national TB programs, TB researchers in Africa, communities, and other stakeholders need to develop, test, and scale up innovations to expand TB case findings in Africa and to ensure that all people on treatment for TB are supported throughout their TB journey and beyond. Now is the time to step up the fight against this disease. Africa should not and must not be left behind in the fight against TB, COVID-19 notwithstanding. STRATEGIES TO MITIGATE THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC: WHERE WE ARE AND WHERE WE NEED TO BE Mitigation strategies for the COVID-19 pandemic aim to slow the spread of the disease and protect the population while being cognizant of the need to minimize the impact of these strategies on the well-being of the people they aim to protect. Safe hygiene practices, physical distancing, and mask wearing are fundamental to any mitigation action and have been adopted globally to curb the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Universal mask wearing has been found to be a highly effective practice that reduces transmission in both experimental models and real-life situations (27, 28). When adhered to, mask wearing also contributes to the reduced spread of other respiratory diseases including influenza virus or respiratory syncytial virus. However, adherence to mask-wearing has varied, being politicized in some parts, unenforced in others, or just simply ignored. Lockdown or mandatory stay-at-home measures as a mitigation strategy truncate the spread of the virus and protect the health system but have adverse social, economic, educational, and health consequences (29). The adverse economic impacts of COVID-19-related lockdowns have been found to be more profound in the African setting due to high rates of poverty, high reliance on daily wages, and lack of social safety nets (30). Furthermore, reports of increases in sex-based violence during lockdowns in many parts of Africa and non-COVID deaths due to limited access to healthcare services have been documented (31, 32). Therefore, lockdown as a COVID-19 mitigation strategy has not worked well in Africa and in many instances its enforcement has been met with protests and crackdowns resulting in further loss of lives. Lockdowns disproportionately affect the poor and widen the already existing inequities within these societies. Mitigating the pandemic must of necessity include the provision of adequate healthcare services to treat all people with COVID-19, which remains a challenge within Africa’s fragile health systems. Inadequate supply of oxygen was a prepandemic challenge in many parts of Africa, which has been exacerbated by the pandemic as increased demand for oxygen far outstripped supply. Although some efforts have been made to mitigate the deficits in oxygen supply with some African countries, such as Nigeria and Malawi having made some strides in improving oxygen supply by establishing new infrastructure for production and delivery, these efforts have not been enough. One major health need in the COVID-19 pandemic is the availability of critical care services including care and treatment of respiratory failure using supportive ventilation. Across sSA, the availability of critical care beds and associated resources for the provision of care and treatment of critically ill patients with COVID-19 is dismal. This calls for the mobilization of resources not only for infrastructural development but also for capacity building. Trained healthcare workers in this area are limited, and task shifting for critical care has proven feasible in Africa and requires further consideration (33). Vaccination, which is considered one of the most cost-effective strategies for mitigating and containing this pandemic, has underscored the global inequities that exist today. While countries such as Canada, United Kingdom, and Israel have achieved nearly 70% vaccination rates, Africa is yet to reach the 3% mark targeted by the World Health Organization (WHO) under the COVID-19 Vaccines Global Access (COVAX) facility as of mid-July 2021. Indeed, most African countries have vaccinated <1% of the population with one dose of the vaccine. The decisive and proactive measures taken by the African Center for Disease Control to mitigate this pandemic, which included the Partnership to Accelerate COVID-19 Testing (PACT) and more recently procurement and equitable distribution of donated vaccines through the COVAX facility, are commendable. The early development of a continent-wide African strategy endorsed by African leaders in the early phases of this pandemic may have contributed to the unexpected low numbers of COVID-19 cases and related deaths in Africa. However, much more needs to be done with regard to vaccine access and widespread effective implementation in Africa. COVAX will receive ∼600 million doses of the vaccine, which can cover only a third of the African population, implying that countries need to purchase vaccines to meet additional needs. Vaccine availability, affordability, and implementation will remain key challenges for the African setting, and there is a need for the global community to consider additional strategies to scale up vaccine coverage for poorer African countries. In addition, vaccine hesitancy in the African setting will need to be decisively dealt with to ensure vaccines made available through the various initiatives are taken up by the population in a timely manner. Addressing vaccine hesitancy in high-context societies of Africa where key opinion leaders sway behavior regardless of scientific rationale is an important mitigation strategy that requires public health action. The rapid spread of conspiracy theories through the wide penetration of social media in Africa must be matched by alternative messaging that is grounded in local realities to enhance vaccine uptake when vaccines become more available. As rich countries begin to emerge from this pandemic due to confidence in the high rates of vaccination, Africa must not be left behind. The spread of SARS-CoV-2 from China to a global pandemic serves as a lesson and reminder that global health is everyone’s business. DISCLOSURES No conflicts of interest, financial or otherwise, are declared by the authors. AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS O.B.O., B.H.M.N., H.J.Z., R.M., and J.C. drafted manuscript; O.B.O., B.H.M.N., H.J.Z., R.M., and J.C. edited and revised manuscript; O.B.O., B.H.M.N., H.J.Z., R.M., J.C., and J.A. approved final version of manuscript.

          Related collections

          Most cited references26

          • Record: found
          • Abstract: found
          • Article: found
          Is Open Access

          Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

          Summary Background Global development goals increasingly rely on country-specific estimates for benchmarking a nation's progress. To meet this need, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 estimated global, regional, national, and, for selected locations, subnational cause-specific mortality beginning in the year 1980. Here we report an update to that study, making use of newly available data and improved methods. GBD 2017 provides a comprehensive assessment of cause-specific mortality for 282 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2017. Methods The causes of death database is composed of vital registration (VR), verbal autopsy (VA), registry, survey, police, and surveillance data. GBD 2017 added ten VA studies, 127 country-years of VR data, 502 cancer-registry country-years, and an additional surveillance country-year. Expansions of the GBD cause of death hierarchy resulted in 18 additional causes estimated for GBD 2017. Newly available data led to subnational estimates for five additional countries—Ethiopia, Iran, New Zealand, Norway, and Russia. Deaths assigned International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes for non-specific, implausible, or intermediate causes of death were reassigned to underlying causes by redistribution algorithms that were incorporated into uncertainty estimation. We used statistical modelling tools developed for GBD, including the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm), to generate cause fractions and cause-specific death rates for each location, year, age, and sex. Instead of using UN estimates as in previous versions, GBD 2017 independently estimated population size and fertility rate for all locations. Years of life lost (YLLs) were then calculated as the sum of each death multiplied by the standard life expectancy at each age. All rates reported here are age-standardised. Findings At the broadest grouping of causes of death (Level 1), non-communicable diseases (NCDs) comprised the greatest fraction of deaths, contributing to 73·4% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 72·5–74·1) of total deaths in 2017, while communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) causes accounted for 18·6% (17·9–19·6), and injuries 8·0% (7·7–8·2). Total numbers of deaths from NCD causes increased from 2007 to 2017 by 22·7% (21·5–23·9), representing an additional 7·61 million (7·20–8·01) deaths estimated in 2017 versus 2007. The death rate from NCDs decreased globally by 7·9% (7·0–8·8). The number of deaths for CMNN causes decreased by 22·2% (20·0–24·0) and the death rate by 31·8% (30·1–33·3). Total deaths from injuries increased by 2·3% (0·5–4·0) between 2007 and 2017, and the death rate from injuries decreased by 13·7% (12·2–15·1) to 57·9 deaths (55·9–59·2) per 100 000 in 2017. Deaths from substance use disorders also increased, rising from 284 000 deaths (268 000–289 000) globally in 2007 to 352 000 (334 000–363 000) in 2017. Between 2007 and 2017, total deaths from conflict and terrorism increased by 118·0% (88·8–148·6). A greater reduction in total deaths and death rates was observed for some CMNN causes among children younger than 5 years than for older adults, such as a 36·4% (32·2–40·6) reduction in deaths from lower respiratory infections for children younger than 5 years compared with a 33·6% (31·2–36·1) increase in adults older than 70 years. Globally, the number of deaths was greater for men than for women at most ages in 2017, except at ages older than 85 years. Trends in global YLLs reflect an epidemiological transition, with decreases in total YLLs from enteric infections, respiratory infections and tuberculosis, and maternal and neonatal disorders between 1990 and 2017; these were generally greater in magnitude at the lowest levels of the Socio-demographic Index (SDI). At the same time, there were large increases in YLLs from neoplasms and cardiovascular diseases. YLL rates decreased across the five leading Level 2 causes in all SDI quintiles. The leading causes of YLLs in 1990—neonatal disorders, lower respiratory infections, and diarrhoeal diseases—were ranked second, fourth, and fifth, in 2017. Meanwhile, estimated YLLs increased for ischaemic heart disease (ranked first in 2017) and stroke (ranked third), even though YLL rates decreased. Population growth contributed to increased total deaths across the 20 leading Level 2 causes of mortality between 2007 and 2017. Decreases in the cause-specific mortality rate reduced the effect of population growth for all but three causes: substance use disorders, neurological disorders, and skin and subcutaneous diseases. Interpretation Improvements in global health have been unevenly distributed among populations. Deaths due to injuries, substance use disorders, armed conflict and terrorism, neoplasms, and cardiovascular disease are expanding threats to global health. For causes of death such as lower respiratory and enteric infections, more rapid progress occurred for children than for the oldest adults, and there is continuing disparity in mortality rates by sex across age groups. Reductions in the death rate of some common diseases are themselves slowing or have ceased, primarily for NCDs, and the death rate for selected causes has increased in the past decade. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
            Bookmark
            • Record: found
            • Abstract: found
            • Article: not found

            Respiratory virus shedding in exhaled breath and efficacy of face masks

            We identified seasonal human coronaviruses, influenza viruses and rhinoviruses in exhaled breath and coughs of children and adults with acute respiratory illness. Surgical face masks significantly reduced detection of influenza virus RNA in respiratory droplets and coronavirus RNA in aerosols, with a trend toward reduced detection of coronavirus RNA in respiratory droplets. Our results indicate that surgical face masks could prevent transmission of human coronaviruses and influenza viruses from symptomatic individuals.
              Bookmark
              • Record: found
              • Abstract: found
              • Article: found
              Is Open Access

              Prognostic factors for severity and mortality in patients infected with COVID-19: A systematic review

              Background and purpose The objective of our systematic review is to identify prognostic factors that may be used in decision-making related to the care of patients infected with COVID-19. Data sources We conducted highly sensitive searches in PubMed/MEDLINE, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) and Embase. The searches covered the period from the inception date of each database until April 28, 2020. No study design, publication status or language restriction were applied. Study selection and data extraction We included studies that assessed patients with confirmed or suspected SARS-CoV-2 infectious disease and examined one or more prognostic factors for mortality or disease severity. Reviewers working in pairs independently screened studies for eligibility, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias. We performed meta-analyses and used GRADE to assess the certainty of the evidence for each prognostic factor and outcome. Results We included 207 studies and found high or moderate certainty that the following 49 variables provide valuable prognostic information on mortality and/or severe disease in patients with COVID-19 infectious disease: Demographic factors (age, male sex, smoking), patient history factors (comorbidities, cerebrovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular disease, cardiac arrhythmia, arterial hypertension, diabetes, dementia, cancer and dyslipidemia), physical examination factors (respiratory failure, low blood pressure, hypoxemia, tachycardia, dyspnea, anorexia, tachypnea, haemoptysis, abdominal pain, fatigue, fever and myalgia or arthralgia), laboratory factors (high blood procalcitonin, myocardial injury markers, high blood White Blood Cell count (WBC), high blood lactate, low blood platelet count, plasma creatinine increase, high blood D-dimer, high blood lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), high blood C-reactive protein (CRP), decrease in lymphocyte count, high blood aspartate aminotransferase (AST), decrease in blood albumin, high blood interleukin-6 (IL-6), high blood neutrophil count, high blood B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), high blood urea nitrogen (BUN), high blood creatine kinase (CK), high blood bilirubin and high erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR)), radiological factors (consolidative infiltrate and pleural effusion) and high SOFA score (sequential organ failure assessment score). Conclusion Identified prognostic factors can help clinicians and policy makers in tailoring management strategies for patients with COVID-19 infectious disease while researchers can utilise our findings to develop multivariable prognostic models that could eventually facilitate decision-making and improve patient important outcomes. Systematic review registration Prospero registration number: CRD42020178802. Protocol available at: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.08.20056598v1.
                Bookmark

                Author and article information

                Journal
                Am J Physiol Lung Cell Mol Physiol
                Am J Physiol Lung Cell Mol Physiol
                ajplung
                AJPLUNG
                American Journal of Physiology - Lung Cellular and Molecular Physiology
                American Physiological Society (Rockville, MD )
                1040-0605
                1522-1504
                1 September 2021
                11 August 2021
                11 August 2021
                : 321
                : 3
                : L619-L623
                Affiliations
                [1] 1Department of Medicine, Faculty of Clinical Sciences, College of Medicine, GRID grid.411782.9, University of Lagos; , and The Lagos University Teaching Hospital , Lagos, Nigeria
                [2] 2Department of Medicine, Douala General Hospital, University of Douala , Douala, Cameroon
                [3] 3Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Red Cross War Memorial Children’s Hospital and SA-MRC Unit for Child and Adolescent Health, University of Cape Town , Cape Town, South Africa
                [4] 4Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, School of Clinical Medicine, College of Health Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal , Durban, South Africa
                [5] 5Centre for Child Health, Blizard Institute, Queen Mary University of London , London, United Kingdom
                [6] 6Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine , Liverpool, United Kingdom
                [7] 7Department of Medicine, Dermatology and Therapeutics, Kenyatta University , Nairobi, Kenya
                [8] 8The Nairobi Hospital , Nairobi, Kenya
                Author notes
                Correspondence: O. B. Ozoh ( oozoh@ 123456unilag.edu.ng ).
                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7865-4771
                Article
                L-00322-2021 L-00322-2021
                10.1152/ajplung.00322.2021
                8435940
                34378415
                788412f4-546e-40cc-ba77-969b716b893e
                Copyright © 2021 the American Physiological Society.
                History
                : 29 July 2021
                : 2 August 2021
                Categories
                Editorial

                Anatomy & Physiology
                africa,covid-19,lung health
                Anatomy & Physiology
                africa, covid-19, lung health

                Comments

                Comment on this article