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      The effect of COVID-19 pandemic on diabetes care indices in Southern Iran: an interrupted time series analysis

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          Abstract

          Background

          Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) requires a continues bulk of cares. It is very probable COVID-19 pandemic is affected its healthcare coverage.

          Methods

          The interrupted time series analysis is used to model the trend of diabetes healthcare indices, such as the health worker visits, physician visits, body mass index (MBI), fasting blood sugar (FBS), and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), before and after the start of COVID-19 pandemic. The reference of data was the totals of all T2DM patients living in Fars Province, Southern Iran, areas covered by Shiraz University of Medical Science (SUMS), from 2019 to 2020.

          Results

          A significant decrease for visits by the health workers, and physicians was observed by starting COVID-19 pandemic (β 2 = -0.808, P < 0.001, β 2 = -0.560, P < 0.001); Nevertheless, the coverage of these services statistically increased by next months (β 3 = 0.112, P < 0.001, β 3 = 0.053, P < 0.001). A same pattern was observed for the number of BMI, FBS and HbA1c assessments, and number of refer to hospital emergency wards (β 3 = 0.105, P < 0.001; β 3 = 0.076, P < 0.001; β 3 = 0.022, P < 0.001; β 3 = 0.106, P < 0.001). The proportion of T2DM patients with HbA1C < 7%, and controlled hypertension during study period was statistically unchanged.

          Conclusions

          When the COVID-19 pandemic was announced, T2DM healthcare coverage drastically decreased, but it quickly began to rebound. The health monitoring system could not have any noticeable effects on diabetes outcomes.

          Supplementary Information

          The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12913-023-09158-4.

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          Most cited references26

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          Association of Blood Glucose Control and Outcomes in Patients with COVID-19 and Pre-existing Type 2 Diabetes

          Summary Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a major comorbidity of COVID-19. However, the impact of blood glucose (BG) control on the degree of required medical interventions and on mortality in patients with COVID-19 and T2D remains uncertain. Thus, we performed a retrospective, multi-centered study of 7,337 cases of COVID-19 in Hubei Province, China, among which 952 had pre-existing T2D. We found that subjects with T2D required more medical interventions and had a significantly higher mortality (7.8% versus 2.7%; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.49) and multiple organ injury than the non-diabetic individuals. Further, we found that well-controlled BG (glycemic variability within 3.9 to 10.0 mmol/L) was associated with markedly lower mortality compared to individuals with poorly controlled BG (upper limit of glycemic variability exceeding 10.0 mmol/L) (adjusted HR, 0.14) during hospitalization. These findings provide clinical evidence correlating improved glycemic control with better outcomes in patients with COVID-19 and pre-existing T2D.
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            National, regional, and global trends in fasting plasma glucose and diabetes prevalence since 1980: systematic analysis of health examination surveys and epidemiological studies with 370 country-years and 2·7 million participants.

            Data for trends in glycaemia and diabetes prevalence are needed to understand the effects of diet and lifestyle within populations, assess the performance of interventions, and plan health services. No consistent and comparable global analysis of trends has been done. We estimated trends and their uncertainties in mean fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and diabetes prevalence for adults aged 25 years and older in 199 countries and territories. We obtained data from health examination surveys and epidemiological studies (370 country-years and 2·7 million participants). We converted systematically between different glycaemic metrics. For each sex, we used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate mean FPG and its uncertainty by age, country, and year, accounting for whether a study was nationally, subnationally, or community representative. In 2008, global age-standardised mean FPG was 5·50 mmol/L (95% uncertainty interval 5·37-5·63) for men and 5·42 mmol/L (5·29-5·54) for women, having risen by 0·07 mmol/L and 0·09 mmol/L per decade, respectively. Age-standardised adult diabetes prevalence was 9·8% (8·6-11·2) in men and 9·2% (8·0-10·5) in women in 2008, up from 8·3% (6·5-10·4) and 7·5% (5·8-9·6) in 1980. The number of people with diabetes increased from 153 (127-182) million in 1980, to 347 (314-382) million in 2008. We recorded almost no change in mean FPG in east and southeast Asia and central and eastern Europe. Oceania had the largest rise, and the highest mean FPG (6·09 mmol/L, 5·73-6·49 for men; 6·08 mmol/L, 5·72-6·46 for women) and diabetes prevalence (15·5%, 11·6-20·1 for men; and 15·9%, 12·1-20·5 for women) in 2008. Mean FPG and diabetes prevalence in 2008 were also high in south Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, and central Asia, north Africa, and the Middle East. Mean FPG in 2008 was lowest in sub-Saharan Africa, east and southeast Asia, and high-income Asia-Pacific. In high-income subregions, western Europe had the smallest rise, 0·07 mmol/L per decade for men and 0·03 mmol/L per decade for women; North America had the largest rise, 0·18 mmol/L per decade for men and 0·14 mmol/L per decade for women. Glycaemia and diabetes are rising globally, driven both by population growth and ageing and by increasing age-specific prevalences. Effective preventive interventions are needed, and health systems should prepare to detect and manage diabetes and its sequelae. Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and WHO. Copyright © 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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              Impact of COVID-19 on routine care for chronic diseases: A global survey of views from healthcare professionals

              Currently most global healthcare resources are focused on coronavirus disease (COVID-19). This resource reallocation could disrupt the continuum of care for patients with chronic diseases. We aimed to evaluate the global impact of COVID-19 on routine care for chronic diseases. (see Table 1 ) Table 1 Responses from healthcare professionals who completed the online survey between March 31 and April 23, 2020. Table 1 Survey questions No. (%) Healthcare profession (n = 202) Primary care physician 75 (37.1) Hospital physician 40 (19.8) Nurse 46 (22.8) Other 41 (20.3) 

 How are you continuing to provide routine chronic disease management care for your patients? (n = 202) Face-to-face 29 (14.4) Telephone 90 (44.6) Both (face-to-face and telephone) 70 (34.7) Other 13 (6.4) 

 How has the management of chronic disease care for your patients been since the outbreak of COVID-19? (n = 202) Very poor 9 (4.5) Poor 39 (19.3) Fair 96 (47.5) Good 52 (25.7) Excellent 6 (3.0) 

 What effect do you think changes in healthcare services has had on your patients with chronic disease since the outbreak of COVID-19? (n = 200) No effect 5 (2.5) Mild effect 61 (30.5) Moderate effect 92 (46.0) Severe effect 42 (21.0) 

 How frequently have your patients been impacted by medication shortages since the start of COVID-19? (n = 201) Never 32 (15.9) Rarely 37 (18.4) Sometimes 96 (47.8) Often 35 (17.4) Always 1 (0.5) 

 Has the mental health of your patients worsened since the outbreak of COVID-19? (n = 200) Yes (most patients) 41 (20.5) Yes (some patients) 118 (59.0) No, it has stayed the same 36 (18.0) No, it has improved 5 (2.5) We developed an English language nine-item online survey targeted at healthcare professionals (HCPs) across the globe, using a drop-down menu format. Prior to dissemination the survey was tested by a group of HCPs for the time to complete and to ensure no questions were distressing. The survey was administered between March 31 and April 23, 2020. The survey link was posted to social media (including Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram), websites, and mailing lists. The posts were sharable to facilitate snowball sampling. Informed consent was obtained. Descriptive analyses were performed. 202 HCPs from 47 countries responded; 47% from Europe, 20% Asia, 12% South America, 10% Africa, 9% North America, 2% Oceania. 75 (37%) were primary care physicians, 40 (20%) hospital physicians, 46 (23%) nurses, and 41 (20%) other HCPs (Table). Only 14% reported continuing face-to-face care for all consultations, whilst the majority reported a change to either a proportion (35%) or all now being carried out by telephone (45%). HCPs who selected other (6%), highlighted use of telemedicine where online video consultations were being used through Zoom, Skype, WhatsApp, Facebook messenger. Some reported home visits, or cancellation of all outpatient appointments. Diabetes (38%) was the condition reported to be most impacted by the reduction in healthcare resources due to COVID-19, followed by chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD, 9%), hypertension (8%), heart disease (7%), asthma (7%), cancer (6%) and depression (6%) (Figure). Additionally, the two most common co-occurring chronic diseases for which care was impacted by COVID-19 were diabetes and hypertension (30%), diabetes and COPD (13%), heart failure and COPD (8%) (Figure). Whilst the overall management of chronic disease care for patients was reported to be fair (48%) or good (26%), most HCPs (67%) rated moderate or severe effects on their patients due to changes in healthcare services since the outbreak. Moreover, 80% reported the mental health of their patients worsened during COVID-19 (Table). Findings from this global survey showed HCPs have adapted to new ways of delivering care using telemedicine in order to reduce face-to-face contacts. Adapting new ways of virtual healthcare and digital technologies is imperative to allow HCPs to continue routine appointments. Further, the use of apps can support self-management of chronic conditions, i.e. continuous glucose monitoring enables support with diabetes. However, the majority of people with non-communicable diseases live in low-middle income countries, where these technologies may not be widely available or practical [1]. Moreover, those with multiple chronic conditions may rely heavily on regular check-ups or hospital appointments to manage risk factors, are left trying to adapt to non-face-to-face interactions, or experiencing delay in treatment which may potentially have severe consequences. Limitations of this survey include that it was only disseminated in English, as part of our networks we may have preferentially approached those working in diabetes. Also, difficulty in obtaining responses from HCPs when workloads may have already increased considerably. There will be heterogeneity between countries in that some countries are currently not as affected by the virus compared to others, and regulations of lockdown and social distancing differ by country, thus further research is required. To avoid a rise in non-COVID-19-related morbidity and mortality, including increased depression and anxiety, it is important that patients with chronic diseases continue to receive care in spite of the pandemic [2]. Our study found that this is currently being done through face-to-face consultation in clinics (away from COVID-19 patients) or through virtual communication.Fig. 1 Fig. 1 Chronic disease and comorbidities most impacted by COVID-19 due to the reduction in care, based on responses by healthcare professionals who completed the online survey between March 31 and April 23, 2020 Fig. 1 Funding/support The National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Applied Research Collaboration East Midlands (ARC-EM). Ethical approval and informed consent All participants gave informed consent at the start of the survey and no confidential data was collected, as all responses remained completely anonymous. This study has been approved by the University of Leicester College of Life Sciences Committee for Research Ethics Concerning Human Subjects (Non-NHS). Declaration of competing interest The authors have no conflict of interest to declare.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                afshinmohammadi295@yahoo.com
                Journal
                BMC Health Serv Res
                BMC Health Serv Res
                BMC Health Services Research
                BioMed Central (London )
                1472-6963
                13 February 2023
                13 February 2023
                2023
                : 23
                : 148
                Affiliations
                [1 ]GRID grid.412571.4, ISNI 0000 0000 8819 4698, Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, ; Shiraz, Iran
                [2 ]GRID grid.412571.4, ISNI 0000 0000 8819 4698, Research Center for Health Sciences, , Institute of Health, School of Health, Department of Epidemiology, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, ; Shiraz, Iran
                [3 ]GRID grid.412571.4, ISNI 0000 0000 8819 4698, Non-Communicable Diseases Group Manager, Office of Vice Chancellor for Health Affairs, , Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, ; Shiraz, Iran
                [4 ]GRID grid.412571.4, ISNI 0000 0000 8819 4698, Student Research Committee, , Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, School of Health, ; Shiraz, Iran
                [5 ]GRID grid.411135.3, ISNI 0000 0004 0415 3047, Noncommunicable Diseases Research Center, , Fasa University of Medical Sciences, ; Fasa, Iran
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0991-8734
                Article
                9158
                10.1186/s12913-023-09158-4
                9925215
                36782171
                6f15d30f-928a-4504-b064-5bafff682a65
                © The Author(s) 2023

                Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver ( http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

                History
                : 17 October 2021
                : 7 February 2023
                Categories
                Research
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2023

                Health & Social care
                type 2 diabetes,covid-19,diabetes care
                Health & Social care
                type 2 diabetes, covid-19, diabetes care

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