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      Blood pressure at age 60–65 versus age 70–75 and vascular dementia: a population based observational study

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          Abstract

          Background

          Vascular dementia (VaD) is the second most common form of dementia. However, there were mixed evidences about the association between blood pressure (BP) and risk of VaD in midlife and late life and limited evidence on the association between pulse pressure and VaD.

          Methods

          This is a population-based observational study. 265,897 individuals with at least one BP measurement between the ages of 60 to 65 years and 211,116 individuals with at least one BP measurement between the ages of 70 to 75 years were extracted from The Health Improvement Network in United Kingdom. Blood pressures were categorized into four groups: normal, prehypertension, stage 1 hypertension, and stage 2 hypertension. Cases of VaD were identified from the recorded clinical diagnoses. Multivariable survival analysis was used to adjust other confounders and competing risk of death. All the analysis were stratified based on antihypertensive drug use status. Multiple imputation was used to fill in missing values.

          Results

          After accounting for the competing risk of death and adjustment for potential confounders, there was an association between higher BP levels in the age 60–65 cohort with the risk of developing VaD (hazard ratio [HR] 1.53 (95% confidence interval: 1.04, 2.25) for prehypertension, 1.90 (1.30, 2.78) for stage 1 hypertension, and 2.19 (1.48, 3.26) for stage 2 hypertension) in the untreated group. There was no statistically significant association between BP levels and VaD in the treated group in the age 60–65 cohort and age 70–75 cohort. Analysis on Pulse Pressure (PP) stratified by blood pressure level showed that PP was not independently associated with VaD.

          Conclusion

          High BP between the ages of 60 to 65 years is a significant risk for VaD in late midlife. Greater efforts should be placed on early diagnosis of hypertension and tight control of BP for hypertensive patients for the prevention of VaD.

          Electronic supplementary material

          The online version of this article (10.1186/s12877-017-0649-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

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          Most cited references22

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          Multiple Imputation after 18+ Years

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            Estimation of failure probabilities in the presence of competing risks: new representations of old estimators.

            A topic that has received attention in both the statistical and medical literature is the estimation of the probability of failure for endpoints that are subject to competing risks. Despite this, it is not uncommon to see the complement of the Kaplan-Meier estimate used in this setting and interpreted as the probability of failure. If one desires an estimate that can be interpreted in this way, however, the cumulative incidence estimate is the appropriate tool to use in such situations. We believe the more commonly seen representations of the Kaplan-Meier estimate and the cumulative incidence estimate do not lend themselves to easy explanation and understanding of this interpretation. We present, therefore, a representation of each estimate in a manner not ordinarily seen, each representation utilizing the concept of censored observations being 'redistributed to the right.' We feel these allow a more intuitive understanding of each estimate and therefore an appreciation of why the Kaplan-Meier method is inappropriate for estimation purposes in the presence of competing risks, while the cumulative incidence estimate is appropriate.
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              Global burden of hypertension: analysis of worldwide data

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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                mpeng@ucalgary.ca
                guchen@ucalgary.ca
                klktang@ucalgary.ca
                hquan@ucalgary.ca
                Eric.Smith@albertahealthservices.ca
                peter.faris@albertahealthservices.ca
                vladimir.hachinski@lhsc.on.ca
                ncampbel@ucalgary.ca
                Journal
                BMC Geriatr
                BMC Geriatr
                BMC Geriatrics
                BioMed Central (London )
                1471-2318
                27 October 2017
                27 October 2017
                2017
                : 17
                : 252
                Affiliations
                [1 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 7697, GRID grid.22072.35, Department of Community Health Sciences, , University of Calgary, ; Calgary, T2N 1N4 Canada
                [2 ]ISNI 0000 0001 0693 8815, GRID grid.413574.0, Alberta Health Services, ; Calgary, T2N 4L7 Canada
                [3 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 7697, GRID grid.22072.35, Cumming School of Medicine, , University of Calgary, ; Calgary, T2N 1N4 Canada
                [4 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 7697, GRID grid.22072.35, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, , University of Calgary, ; Calgary, T2N 1N4 Canada
                [5 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 8884, GRID grid.39381.30, Department of Clinical Neurological Sciences, London Health Sciences Centre, , Western University, ; London, ON N6A 5A5 Canada
                [6 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 7697, GRID grid.22072.35, Department of Medicine, Physiology and Pharmacology and Community Health Sciences, O’Brien Institute for Public Health and Libin Cardiovascular Institute of Alberta, , University of Calgary, ; Calgary, AB T2N 1N4 Canada
                Article
                649
                10.1186/s12877-017-0649-3
                5658926
                29078750
                58ee3f2e-c8c6-4341-8b94-370a9ddfc6b5
                © The Author(s). 2017

                Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver ( http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

                History
                : 15 March 2017
                : 19 October 2017
                Funding
                Funded by: Pilot funding for vascular cognitive impairment research - Katthy Taylor Chair in Vascular Dementia
                Categories
                Research Article
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2017

                Geriatric medicine
                population based observational study,blood pressure,vascular dementia,pulse pressure

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