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      Modeling the Interruption of the Transmission of Soil-Transmitted Helminths by Repeated Mass Chemotherapy of School-Age Children

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          Abstract

          Background

          The control or elimination of neglected tropical diseases has recently become the focus of increased interest and funding from international agencies through the donation of drugs. Resources are becoming available for the treatment of soil-transmitted helminth (STH) infection through school-based deworming strategies. However, little research has been conducted to assess the impact of STH treatment that could be used to guide the design of efficient elimination programs.

          Methodology

          We construct and analyse an age-structured model of STH population dynamics under regular treatment. We investigate the potential for elimination with finite rounds of treatment, and how this depends on the value of the basic reproductive number R 0 and treatment frequency.

          Principal findings

          Analysis of the model indicates that its behaviour is determined by key parameter groupings describing the basic reproduction number and the fraction of it attributable to the treated group, the timescale of material in the environment and the frequency and efficacy of treatment. Mechanisms of sexual reproduction and persistence of infectious material in the environment are found to be much more important in the context of elimination than in the undisturbed baseline scenario. For a given rate of drug use, sexual reproduction dictates that less frequent, higher coverage treatment is more effective. For a given treatment coverage level, the lifespan of infectious material in the environment places a limit on the effectiveness of increased treatment frequency.

          Conclusions

          Our work suggests that for models to capture the dynamics of parasite burdens in populations under regular treatment as elimination is approached, they need to include the effects of sexual reproduction among parasites and the dynamics infectious material in the reservoir. The interaction of these two mechanisms has a strong effect on optimum treatment strategies, both in terms of how frequently to treat and for how long.

          Author Summary

          The control or elimination of soil-transmitted helminth diseases through chemotherapy has recently become the focus of increased interest and funding from international agencies, charities, and pharmaceutical companies via drug donations for treatment in the poorer regions of the world. The design of treatment regimes and the interpretation of their impact benefit from analysis using robust and reliable mathematical models. By analyzing models of the effect of treatment on host parasite burden, we identify several aspects of parasite natural history and transmission which are often overlooked, but have a marked effect on the impact of treatment strategies. In particular, the inclusion of sexual reproduction and the dynamics of eggs or larval stages in the model changes the response of the parasite population to treatment when parasite burdens are low. This in turn has implications for the design of treatment strategies to eliminate parasites in terms of minimizing total drug use and the length of the program delivering them.

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          Most cited references15

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          The coverage and frequency of mass drug administration required to eliminate persistent transmission of soil-transmitted helminths

          A combination of methods, including mathematical model construction, demographic plus epidemiological data analysis and parameter estimation, are used to examine whether mass drug administration (MDA) alone can eliminate the transmission of soil-transmitted helminths (STHs). Numerical analyses suggest that in all but low transmission settings (as defined by the magnitude of the basic reproductive number, R 0), the treatment of pre-school-aged children (pre-SAC) and school-aged children (SAC) is unlikely to drive transmission to a level where the parasites cannot persist. High levels of coverage (defined as the fraction of an age group effectively treated) are required in pre-SAC, SAC and adults, if MDA is to drive the parasite below the breakpoint under which transmission is eliminated. Long-term solutions to controlling helminth infections lie in concomitantly improving the quality of the water supply, sanitation and hygiene (WASH). MDA, however, is a very cost-effective tool in long-term control given that most drugs are donated free by the pharmaceutical industry for poor regions of the world. WASH interventions, by lowering the basic reproductive number, can facilitate the ability of MDA to interrupt transmission.
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            Can chemotherapy alone eliminate the transmission of soil transmitted helminths?

            Background Amongst the world’s poorest populations, availability of anthelmintic treatments for the control of soil transmitted helminths (STH) by mass or targeted chemotherapy has increased dramatically in recent years. However, the design of community based treatment programmes to achieve the greatest impact on transmission is still open to debate. Questions include: who should be treated, how often should they be treated, how long should treatment be continued for? Methods Simulation and analysis of a dynamic transmission model and novel data analyses suggest refinements of the World Health Organization guidelines for the community based treatment of STH. Results This analysis shows that treatment levels and frequency must be much higher, and the breadth of coverage across age classes broader than is typically the current practice, if transmission is to be interrupted by mass chemotherapy alone. Conclusions When planning interventions to reduce transmission, rather than purely to reduce morbidity, current school-based interventions are unlikely to be enough to achieve the desired results.
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              Helminth infections of humans: mathematical models, population dynamics, and control.

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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: Editor
                Journal
                PLoS Negl Trop Dis
                PLoS Negl Trop Dis
                plos
                plosntds
                PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, USA )
                1935-2727
                1935-2735
                December 2014
                4 December 2014
                : 8
                : 12
                : e3323
                Affiliations
                [1 ]London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Marys Campus, Norfolk Place, London, United Kingdom
                [2 ]Mathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom
                [3 ]School of Life Sciences, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom
                [4 ]Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, United Kingdom
                Queensland Institute for Medical Research, Australia
                Author notes

                RA is non-executive member of the board of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK). GlaxoSmithKline provided no financial support for the work and played no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. This does not alter our adherence to all PLoS policies on sharing data and materials.

                Conceived and designed the experiments: RA JT TDH. Analyzed the data: JT. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: JT. Wrote the paper: RA JT TDH.

                Article
                PNTD-D-14-00055
                10.1371/journal.pntd.0003323
                4256169
                25474477
                24c22fb7-50ce-45c9-9fa7-16d374d07d4d
                Copyright @ 2014

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

                History
                : 13 January 2014
                : 7 October 2014
                Page count
                Pages: 9
                Funding
                This research was supported by The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (#OPP1033751) and the World bank via the Partnership for Child Development (DGF File 304313). RA thanks GSK for Funding for the London Centre for NTDs. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
                Categories
                Research Article
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Plant Science
                Plant Pathology
                Infectious Disease Epidemiology
                Computer and Information Sciences
                Computer Modeling
                Systems Science
                Nonlinear Dynamics
                Medicine and Health Sciences
                Epidemiology
                Infectious Diseases
                Parasitic Diseases
                Helminth Infections
                Soil-Transmitted Helminthiases
                Tropical Diseases
                Neglected Tropical Diseases
                Physical Sciences
                Mathematics

                Infectious disease & Microbiology
                Infectious disease & Microbiology

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