Average rating: | Rated 4 of 5. |
Level of importance: | Rated 4 of 5. |
Level of validity: | Rated 4 of 5. |
Level of completeness: | Rated 3 of 5. |
Level of comprehensibility: | Rated 5 of 5. |
Competing interests: | None |
The paper provides a good overview of the evolution of the electricity sector in Europe using historic data and the results of scenarios from energy models. It also provides an assessment of the role of nuclear fission technology.
The historical evolution of the sector provides good insights into the underlying trends of the decarbonization process in teh different sectors which is very interesting.
The future evolution of the electricity sector is analyzed using the energy scenarios published by the EC. The main limitation is that they come from the work of the same modeling team (E3M Lab). A review of alternative scenarios for Europe published by other modeling teams would be a good added value for the paper.
The analysis of the role of nuclear technology is based just on one study ( the one produced by FTI consulting). A short explanation of the modeling framework followed in this study and the main hypothesis would be very beneficial. In particular, the need for a flexible operation of the nuclear power plants and substantially reduced investment costs should be mentioned.
When it comes to the analysis of socioeconomic externalities, the text only shows the jobs lost in the nuclear industry but no mention is done of the employment associated with the deployment of renewables and storage technologies that are much more employment-intensive than nuclear technology. Similarly, the source of data for the estimation of potential externalities associated with land use and atmospheric emissions is not detailed.
The final point is that no mention is done on the potential costs, both direct and external associated with the management of nuclear waste, and the potential risk of severe accidents is not even mentioned.